Flyers vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Flyers vs. Penguins NHL game on January 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Flyers
3
6
PPG Paints Arena
Penguins
PPG Paints Arena
TEAM123T
Flyers
0 1 2 3
Penguins
2 2 2 6
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Flyers
    0%
  • Penguins
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Flyers
0 1 2 3
Penguins
2 2 2 6
P3 16:03 Shot missed by Rodrigo Abols
P3 14:48 Power play - Shot missed by Christian Dvorak
P3 12:09 Power play - Shot missed by Travis Konecny
P3 11:59 Power play - Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 10:54 Goal scored by Nick Seeler assisted by Denver Barkey and Noah Juulsen
P3 10:52 Shot missed by Nick Seeler
P3 09:46 Shot on goal by Connor Clifton saved by Aleksei Kolosov
P3 08:02 Shot on goal by Denver Barkey saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 07:37 Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Cam York
P3 05:00 Shot missed by Owen Tippett
P3 04:25 Goal scored by Connor Dewar
P3 03:09 Power play - Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P3 02:59 Power play - Shot missed by Kris Letang
P3 02:46 Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Aleksei Kolosov
P3 02:16 Power play - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P3 00:50 Shot on goal by Travis Sanheim saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 00:27 Shot missed by Noah Cates
P2 18:45 Shot missed by Trevor Zegras
P2 18:35 Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Aleksei Kolosov
P2 18:29 Goal scored by Noel Acciari
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:12
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
  3. P3 18:47
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
  4. P3 18:47
    Stoppage - Offside
  5. P3 17:25
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Sean Couturier in neutral zone
  6. P3 16:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rodrigo Abols
  7. P3 14:49
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Noah Cates in defensive zone
  8. P3 14:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Christian Dvorak
  9. P3 14:00
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
  10. P3 12:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Travis Konecny
  11. P3 11:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Stuart Skinner
  12. P3 11:40
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  13. P3 11:03
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  14. P3 10:54
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nick Seeler assisted by Denver Barkey and Noah Juulsen
    2-6
  15. P3 10:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Seeler
  16. P3 10:08
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  17. P3 09:49
    Flyers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  18. P3 09:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Clifton saved by Aleksei Kolosov
  19. P3 08:47
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Noah Cates in defensive zone
  20. P3 08:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Denver Barkey saved by Stuart Skinner
  21. P3 07:39
    Flyers won faceoff against Penguins in defensive zone
  22. P3 07:37
    SHOT
    Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Cam York
  23. P3 05:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Owen Tippett
  24. P3 04:27
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Noah Cates in neutral zone
  25. P3 04:25
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Connor Dewar
    1-6
  26. P3 03:10
    Trevor Zegras won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  27. P3 03:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
  28. P3 02:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Kris Letang
  29. P3 02:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Aleksei Kolosov
  30. P3 02:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  31. P3 01:32
    Penalty to Blake Lizotte 2 minutes for Misconduct
  32. P3 00:52
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Sean Couturier in defensive zone
  33. P3 00:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Travis Sanheim saved by Stuart Skinner
  34. P3 00:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Cates
  35. P3 00:00
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  36. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  37. P2 18:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Trevor Zegras
  38. P2 18:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Aleksei Kolosov
  39. P2 18:29
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Noel Acciari
    1-4
  40. P2 17:36
    SHOT
    Carl Grundstrom shot blocked by teammate
  41. P2 16:43
    SHOT
    Ben Kindel shot blocked by Denver Barkey
  42. P2 16:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sean Couturier
  43. P2 15:26
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Penguins in defensive zone
  44. P2 15:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  45. P2 15:22
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  46. P2 15:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Aleksei Kolosov
  47. P2 14:57
    Flyers won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  48. P2 14:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  49. P2 14:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Aleksei Kolosov
  50. P2 13:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sean Couturier
  51. P2 13:43
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  52. P2 13:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Aleksei Kolosov
  53. P2 13:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Stuart Skinner
  54. P2 12:01
    SHOT
    Kris Letang shot blocked by Jamie Drysdale
  55. P2 11:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Aleksei Kolosov
  56. P2 09:52
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  57. P2 09:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Aleksei Kolosov
  58. P2 08:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Aleksei Kolosov
  59. P2 08:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Travis Konecny
  60. P2 08:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  61. P2 07:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matvei Michkov
  62. P2 06:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Stuart Skinner
  63. P2 06:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Owen Tippett
  64. P2 05:29
    Carl Grundstrom won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  65. P2 05:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Seeler
  66. P2 05:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Seeler saved by Stuart Skinner
  67. P2 04:48
    SHOT
    Brett Kulak shot blocked by Emil Andrae
  68. P2 04:28
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  69. P2 04:10
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  70. P2 04:01
    Flyers won faceoff against Penguins in defensive zone
  71. P2 04:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  72. P2 03:17
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  73. P2 03:17
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  74. P2 03:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Stuart Skinner
  75. P2 02:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Garnet Hathaway
  76. P2 02:17
    Rodrigo Abols won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
  77. P2 02:17
    Flyers replaced goalie. (Aleksei Kolosov)
  78. P2 01:45
    SHOT
    Sean Couturier shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  79. P2 01:16
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Anthony Mantha in neutral zone
  80. P2 01:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Stuart Skinner
  81. P2 00:00
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  82. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  83. P1 19:54
    Takeaway by Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  84. P1 19:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
  85. P1 19:09
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  86. P1 19:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Denver Barkey saved by Stuart Skinner
  87. P1 19:04
    Nikita Grebenkin won faceoff against Penguins in offensive zone
  88. P1 19:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cam York saved by Stuart Skinner
  89. P1 18:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Christian Dvorak saved by Stuart Skinner
  90. P1 17:54
    Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
  91. P1 17:34
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  92. P1 16:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Travis Sanheim
  93. P1 16:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Samuel Ersson
  94. P1 15:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
  95. P1 15:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Samuel Ersson
  96. P1 15:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
  97. P1 14:25
    Anthony Mantha won faceoff against Rodrigo Abols in offensive zone
  98. P1 14:25
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  99. P1 13:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Samuel Ersson
  100. P1 13:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Samuel Ersson
  101. P1 13:02
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Travis Konecny in neutral zone
  102. P1 13:02
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  103. P1 12:25
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  104. P1 12:11
    Shorthanded - Sean Couturier won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  105. P1 11:41
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Rodrigo Abols in neutral zone
  106. P1 11:41
    Stoppage
  107. P1 11:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Trevor Zegras
  108. P1 10:10
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  109. P1 09:48
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  110. P1 09:48
    Stoppage - Icing
  111. P1 09:11
    Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
  112. P1 08:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Matvei Michkov
  113. P1 08:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cam York
  114. P1 07:16
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Samuel Ersson
  115. P1 06:43
    Power play - Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  116. P1 06:43
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  117. P1 06:43
    Penalty to Blake Lizotte 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Denver Barkey)
  118. P1 06:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Denver Barkey
  119. P1 06:35
    SHOT
    Noah Juulsen shot blocked by teammate
  120. P1 04:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Samuel Ersson
  121. P1 03:53
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  122. P1 03:53
    Penalty to Travis Sanheim 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Bryan Rust)
  123. P1 03:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jamie Drysdale
  124. P1 02:58
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  125. P1 02:58
    Stoppage - Icing
  126. P1 02:31
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in defensive zone
  127. P1 02:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
  128. P1 02:26
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Travis Konecny in neutral zone
  129. P1 02:16
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Justin Brazeau assisted by Ben Kindel and Anthony Mantha
    0-1
  130. P1 02:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
  131. P1 00:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Bryan Rust shot blocked by Travis Sanheim
  132. P1 00:23
    Penalty to Cam York 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Rickard Rakell)
  133. P1 00:17
    Travis Sanheim credited with hit on Bryan Rust in defensive zone
  134. P1 00:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Noah Cates
Stats
Flyers
STATS
Penguins
33Shots on Goal30
47% Faceoff Win % 53%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/3
13Penalty Infraction Mins13
22Hits20
11 Shots Blocked 14
11Giveaways14
FlyersPHI
PenguinsPIT
33Shots on Goal30
47% Faceoff Win % 53%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/3
13Penalty Infraction Mins13
22Hits20
11 Shots Blocked 14
11Giveaways14

Flyers vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Flyers vs. Penguins
  • Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Penguins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Flyers +145, Penguins -166

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Flyers: 41%
  • Penguins: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flyers a win probability of 41%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Flyers in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Flyers vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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