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PGA Tour Expert Picks: The Honda Classic Predictions & Best Bets

PGA Tour Expert Picks: The Honda Classic Predictions & Best Bets

The PGA Tour heads to Palm Beach Gardens, Florida this weekend for The Honda Classic.  The Champion Course at PGA National hosts this tournament for the 17th straight year. With a move from the west coast to the east coast, expect a different feel from the Bermuda grass, water, sand, and plenty of low scores. And we have one Best Bet worth taking. Also, make sure you visit Dimers all golf season, where we'll be feeding you our PGA best bets on a weekly basis. These PGA predictions are made with our predictive analytics model and world-class artificial intelligence, and our data has already found some nice edges to start the year. 

Who will win the Honda Classic?

PGA Tour Win Probabilities

To make things easy for you, we listed the best PGA Golf bets for the 2023 The Honda Classic, down below.

  WIN TOP 5 TOP 10
Sungjae Im 10.7% 31.3% 45.8%
Aaron Wise 6.0% 21.2% 34.2%
Shane Lowry 4.9% 17.7% 28.9%
Matt Kuchar 4.7% 18.6% 30.2%
Denny McCarthy 3.7% 15.7% 25.9%

RELATED: Dimers' Golf Rankings - Who is No. 1?

The Honda Classic Betting Preview

The Honda Classic stands as a moment to take a deep breath after the fast-paced, high-scoring tournaments in recent weeks with many of the top players in the world playing key roles on Sundays and the return of Tiger Woods.

That's not to say the tournament will be boring - or that there won't be value in betting it, but just eight players that are currently ranked in the Top 50 in the world golf rankings will be competing. With so many smaller names teeing off, it's important to do your research before placing your bets, and we are here to help.

Dimers' Golf H2H Matchup Tool compares our model's head-to-head probabilities for golfers competing in the current PGA Tour tournament. Choose your players and switch between Fair Odds or Percentages.

Why Sungjae Im is the Best Bet to Win the Honda Classic

According to both the latest sportsbook odds and our DimersBOT model, Sungjae Im is the clear favorite at +900 and rated as a 10.7% chance of winning by the Dimers predictive analytics model. In many tournaments, our model's data will have multiple favorites listed at a probability around 10%.  For this year's Honda Classic, Im stands alone, as the next closest "favorite" is Aaron Wise, all the way down at 6.0%.

Sungjae Im has a proven history at this event - winning in 2020 before finishing in the Top 10 in his title defense in 2021. Im is also in good form early this season, with two top-6 finished in his last three events. It's important to note that those finishes occurred in fields with plenty of highly-ranked players, as opposed to the field for this weekend's Honda Classic.

Sungjae Im is a rising star, as noted by his rank of 18th in the world by the world golf rankings. But our Dimers' Golf Rankings like him even more. We currently rank Im as the 13th best player in the world, ahead of players like Dustin Johnson and Matthew Fitzpatrick. The next closest player that will tee it up in the Honda Classic is Aaron Wise, who we rank 24th.

While Sungjae Im winning the tournament wouldn't be a surprise, our favorite way to bet Im for the Honda Classic is to finish in the Top 10. At +120 odds, we just can't pass up that value in a field where Im is clearly the class of the tournament.

 

 

Greg Waddell
Creative Strategist

Greg Waddell is a self-proclaimed college basketball addict, with an affinity for parlays and fantasy football trades. He's based in Michigan, where he hasn't seen one of his professional sports teams win anything of any importance since he was in diapers.

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