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Parlay these Rams vs. Bears player props at +495 odds on Sunday, January 18

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Reviewed by Nick Slade

Rams vs. Bears closes out the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs and we've used the Dimers model data to craft a +495 same game parlay.

NFL parlay picks for Rams vs. Bears on Sunday night
NFL parlay picks for Bears vs. Rams on Sunday night

The Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs concludes with Rams vs. Bears on Sunday night, January 18, with the winner moving on the NFC Championship to face the Seahawks.

We're closing out the weekend with our latest Primetime Parlay built with the Dimers model in tonight's playoff showdown between the Los Angeles Rams vs. Chicago Bears on Sunday, January 18.

Just like you can do with Dimers Pro, we analyze the best NFL props, touchdown predictions and matchup data to find three legs worth betting in a same game parlay.

A Dimers Pro subscription grants you complete access to the tools mentioned above, as well as our  NFL Player Projections hub complete with boxscores and fantasy projections, NFL predictions, our brand-new Dimebot betting assistant and more.

For tonight, we're using our model's NFL predictions to build a +495 odds Same Game Parlay over on DraftKings Sportsbookwhere new users can claim up to a $300 DraftKings bonus when they sign up.


NFL parlay tonight - Rams vs. Bears

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the parlay picks that make up our three-leg same game parlay in Rams vs. Bears on Sunday night, January 18.

We're focusing on the run game, which could be more heavily featured due to cold temperatures, wind gusts and potential snow in the game.

PlayerPropProjections
D'Andre Swift (Bears)50+ Rushing Yards61.0 Rush Yds
Blake Corum (Rams)40+ Rushing Yards47.7 Rush Yds
Kyren Williams (Rams)Anytime TD Scorer44.1% Probability

Leg 1: D'Andre Swift 50+ rushing yards

To kick things off, we task Bears RB D'Andre Swift to rack up at least 50 rushing yards vs. the Rams.

Swift finished up a career-best rushing season, recording his highest yardage total (1,087), YPC with at least 100 carries (4.9) and touchdowns (9).

He hit this mark in last week's playoff matchup vs. the Packers with 54 yards, in five of his previous six games and 11 times this season.

The Dimers model projects him for 61.0, clearing his regular line of 54.5

While the Rams' rushing defense ranked 12th in the NFL with 110.8 yards per game allowed (83 last week vs. Carolina), they did see performances of 83, 100 and 185 rushing yards over the final six games - Swift has six 80+ yard performances this season.

Leg 2: Blake Corum 40+ rushing yards

Next up, we're sticking in the run game but moving to the Rams side of things for the final two legs as we take RB Blake Corum to record at least 40 rushing yards.

Including the playoffs, Corum has hit this in six of his last seven games and ten times this season. Notably, he's cleared it in every game he's seen double-digit carries, a trend unlikely to change tonight as he's cemented a true split in the backfield.

The Dimers model projects Corum for 47.7 rushing yards tonight, just over his line of 45.5 on the books, with 40+ available at just slightly longer odds.

The Bears allowed 134.5 rushing yards per game in the regular season (27th) and gave up 99 to the Packers last week.

Leg 3: Kyren Williams anytime TD scorer

For the final leg of tonight's SGP, we're looking at the Rams' other RB to find the end zone for the second time in these playoffs.

Kyren Williams racked up 13 total touchdowns in the regular season before a quiet three-game streak without a score to close the year, rebounding with a receiving touchdown in the Rams' playoff victory over Carolina.

As mentioned above, Williams has split the backfield with Blake Corum, but he's getting more snaps and virtually all of the receiving work out of the backfield (52 targets this season to Corum's 16), giving him more of a dual-threat role.

Williams is our third-most likely player to score in this game, yet while both Davante Adams and Puka Nacua are priced at over a 50% implied probability with minus odds, they sit under 50% in our model., meaning they should be plus money.

Williams' odds of +120 are right in line with his fair price at 44.1%. If bettors are looking for a higher payout with increased risk, our model identified touchdown value on Blake Corum as well, but will need to get his best odds on a different sportsbook.

 

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To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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