Padres vs. Nationals Prediction: Padres Predicted to Win After New Data Released for Thursday's MLB Game [7/25/2024]

MLB action continues on Thursday at 12:05PM ET as the San Diego Padres take on the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park.

The Nationals will start Patrick Corbin (2-9, 5.35 ERA), while the Padres will counter with Dylan Cease (9-8, 3.76 ERA).

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Padres as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Padres-Nationals game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Padres with a win probability of 59% and the Nationals with 41%."

Padres vs. Nationals Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's MLB action between the Nationals and Padres at Nationals Park is scheduled to begin at 12:05PM ET.

• Who: San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals
• Date: Thursday, July 25, 2024
• Time: 12:05PM ET/9:05AM PT
• Venue: Nationals Park
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Padres vs. Nationals matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Nationals vs. Padres picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Padres vs. Nationals Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Padres and Nationals 10,000 times as part of our MLB picks coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Padres a 59% chance of beating the Nationals.

According to our model, the Nationals (+1.5) have a 54% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities

Last Updated: 1:28AM, Jul 25

Moneyline

Over / Under

Run Line

Padres

Win %

59%

41%

-158

+140

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See Matchup

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Nationals

Padres SD

-158

Win %

59%

41%

See Matchup

Nationals WSH

+140

Dylan Cease 9-8, 3.76 ERA

Patrick Corbin 2-9, 5.35 ERA

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Padres vs. Nationals Odds [7/25/2024]

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Padres vs. Nationals Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Padres vs. Nationals matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot: Best Bets Today

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Padres, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Nationals on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Padres vs. Nationals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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