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Senators vs. Capitals prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [10/25/2025]
Get Ottawa Senators vs Washington Capitals predictions for NHL Saturday.

The Washington Capitals will take on the Ottawa Senators in NHL action at Capital One Arena on Saturday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Capitals as the most likely winner of the Senators vs. Capitals game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including goal scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.
Senators vs. Caps prediction: Who will win, cover the puck line?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Senators and Capitals 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Capitals a 55% chance of defeating the Senators.
According to our model, the Senators (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Senators vs. Capitals odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Senators | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-225) | -1.5 (+186) |
| Moneyline | +108 | -125 |
| Total | o5.5 (-120) | u5.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Senators vs. Capitals picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Capitals -1.5 | +186 |
| Moneyline | Capitals | -125 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -120 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Capitals moneyline.
Senators vs. Capitals player props
Who will score a goal in Senators vs. Capitals?
According to our model, Aliaksei Protas is most likely to score an anytime goal in Senators vs. Capitals.
Our projections give Protas a 34.8% chance of scoring a goal at Capital One Arena, while the star is a 7.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Ottawa Senators
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Shane Pinto | 30.3% |
| Tim Stutzle | 29.7% |
| Dylan Cozens | 23.3% |
| Drake Batherson | 22.9% |
| David Perron | 19.0% |
Washington Capitals
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas | 34.8% |
| Alex Ovechkin | 34.1% |
| Tom Wilson | 31.9% |
| Dylan Strome | 29.9% |
| Connor McMichael | 23.2% |
First goal scorer predictions
Ottawa Senators
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Shane Pinto | 6.2% |
| Tim Stutzle | 5.7% |
| Dylan Cozens | 4.3% |
| Drake Batherson | 4.3% |
| David Perron | 3.1% |
Washington Capitals
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas | 7.3% |
| Dylan Strome | 6.2% |
| Alex Ovechkin | 6.2% |
| Tom Wilson | 5.8% |
| Connor McMichael | 4.7% |
Senators vs. Caps game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Capitals and Senators at Capital One Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Ottawa Senators vs. Washington Capitals
- Date: Saturday, October 25, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Capital One Arena
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Conclusion
We predict the Capitals, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Senators on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Senators vs. Capitals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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