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Senators vs. Capitals prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [10/25/2025]

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Written by Nick Slade

Get Ottawa Senators vs Washington Capitals predictions for NHL Saturday.

Ottawa Senators-Washington Capitals Predictions and Game Preview.
Ottawa Senators vs. Washington Capitals NHL prediction for Saturday, October 25, 2025.

The Washington Capitals will take on the Ottawa Senators in NHL action at Capital One Arena on Saturday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Capitals as the most likely winner of the Senators vs. Capitals game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including goal scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.

Senators vs. Caps prediction: Who will win, cover the puck line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Senators and Capitals 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Capitals a 55% chance of defeating the Senators.

According to our model, the Senators (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

 

Senators vs. Capitals odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Senators Capitals
Puck Line +1.5 (-225) -1.5 (+186)
Moneyline +108 -125
Total o5.5 (-120) u5.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Senators vs. Capitals picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Puck Line Capitals -1.5 +186
Moneyline Capitals -125
Total Over 5.5 -120

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Capitals moneyline.

 

Senators vs. Capitals player props

Who will score a goal in Senators vs. Capitals?

According to our model, Aliaksei Protas is most likely to score an anytime goal in Senators vs. Capitals.

Our projections give Protas a 34.8% chance of scoring a goal at Capital One Arena, while the star is a 7.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Ottawa Senators

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Shane Pinto 30.3%
Tim Stutzle 29.7%
Dylan Cozens 23.3%
Drake Batherson 22.9%
David Perron 19.0%

Washington Capitals

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Aliaksei Protas 34.8%
Alex Ovechkin 34.1%
Tom Wilson 31.9%
Dylan Strome 29.9%
Connor McMichael 23.2%

First goal scorer predictions

Ottawa Senators

Player First Goal Probability
Shane Pinto 6.2%
Tim Stutzle 5.7%
Dylan Cozens 4.3%
Drake Batherson 4.3%
David Perron 3.1%

Washington Capitals

Player First Goal Probability
Aliaksei Protas 7.3%
Dylan Strome 6.2%
Alex Ovechkin 6.2%
Tom Wilson 5.8%
Connor McMichael 4.7%

Senators vs. Caps game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's action between the Capitals and Senators at Capital One Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

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Conclusion

We predict the Capitals, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Senators on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Senators vs. Capitals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NHL

Stay informed with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the latest probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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