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Senators vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Capitals NHL game on October 25, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
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NHL
Senators
7
1
Oct 25, 11PM Capital One Arena
Capitals
Oct 25, 11PM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Senators
1337
Capitals
0011
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
SenatorsOTT
Win %
100%
0%
CapitalsWSH
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Senators
1337
Capitals
0011
P3 19:10 Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:38 Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P3 18:32 Matt Roy shot blocked by Ridly Greig
P3 17:21 Connor McMichael shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 17:08 Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Nick Cousins
P3 17:01 Matt Roy shot blocked by Michael Amadio
P3 16:00 Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P3 15:10 Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 14:22 Goal scored by Drake Batherson
P3 13:41 Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 13:18 Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 13:14 Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 12:25 Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P3 12:20 Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 11:35 Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 11:13 Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 10:36 Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 09:47 Power play - Goal scored by Thomas Chabot
P3 08:12 Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 07:40 Shot missed by Shane Pinto
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:16
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P3 19:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 19:10
SHOT
Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P3 18:34
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
P3 18:34
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 18:32
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Ridly Greig
P3 17:21
SHOT
Connor McMichael shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 17:10
Lars Eller won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
P3 17:10
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 17:08
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Nick Cousins
P3 17:03
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
P3 17:03
Stoppage
P3 17:01
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Michael Amadio
P3 16:00
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P3 15:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 14:28
Lars Eller won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
P3 14:28
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 14:22
Lars Eller won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
P3 14:22
GOAL
Goal scored by Drake Batherson
7-1
P3 13:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 13:26
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Tom Wilson in neutral zone
P3 13:26
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 13:20
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
P3 13:20
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 13:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 13:16
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
P3 13:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 13:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 12:25
SHOT
Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P3 12:22
Lars Eller won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P3 12:22
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 12:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 11:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 11:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 10:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:01
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Nikolas Matinpalo in neutral zone
P3 09:55
Lars Eller won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P3 09:55
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 09:47
Lars Eller won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P3 09:47
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Thomas Chabot
6-1
P3 09:17
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P3 09:17
Penalty to Justin Sourdif 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Fabian Zetterlund)
P3 09:17
Senators won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
P3 09:17
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 08:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 07:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Shane Pinto
P3 06:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
P3 06:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Capitals
P3 05:58
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P3 05:04
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P3 05:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Capitals saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 04:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Nic Dowd
P3 04:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Roy
P3 03:50
SHOT
Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by John Carlson
P3 03:34
Lars Eller won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
P3 03:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Senators
P3 03:11
Lars Eller won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
P3 03:11
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 03:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 03:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 01:56
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
P3 01:56
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 01:49
SHOT
Lars Eller shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
P3 01:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Jensen saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 01:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 00:55
Lars Eller won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P3 00:55
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Drake Batherson
4-0
P3 00:54
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 00:52
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 00:00
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:52
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
P2 19:45
SHOT
Power play - Shane Pinto shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P2 19:27
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
P2 19:27
Penalty to Martin Fehervary 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 19:27
Penalty to Alex Ovechkin 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 19:27
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 19:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Charlie Lindgren
P2 19:20
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
P2 19:20
Stoppage - Icing
P2 18:59
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
P2 18:59
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 18:57
SHOT
Dylan McIlrath shot blocked by Kurtis MacDermid
P2 18:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Lars Eller
P2 18:33
Lars Eller won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P2 18:33
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 17:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 17:47
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P2 17:47
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 17:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Charlie Lindgren
P2 17:44
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
P2 17:44
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 17:41
SHOT
Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Pierre-Luc Dubois
P2 17:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
P2 16:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
P2 16:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Jensen saved by Charlie Lindgren
P2 15:56
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
P2 15:56
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 15:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kurtis MacDermid saved by Charlie Lindgren
P2 15:12
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
P2 15:12
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 15:06
Ryan Leonard credited with hit on Tyler Kleven in neutral zone
P2 14:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P2 14:15
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in defensive zone
P2 14:15
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 13:13
SHOT
Power play - John Carlson shot blocked by teammate
P2 12:29
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
P2 12:29
Penalty to Shane Pinto 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 12:12
SHOT
Connor McMichael shot blocked by Shane Pinto
P2 12:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 11:20
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
P2 11:20
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 11:20
Penalty to Nick Cousins 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 11:20
Penalty to Brandon Duhaime 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 11:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 10:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 10:05
John Carlson credited with hit on Michael Amadio in neutral zone
P2 09:45
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
P2 09:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McMichael
P2 09:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan McIlrath
P2 08:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Ridly Greig
P2 08:34
Pierre-Luc Dubois credited with hit on Jake Sanderson in offensive zone
P2 08:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P2 07:37
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P2 06:54
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
P2 06:50
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P2 06:50
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 06:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
P2 06:33
SHOT
Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by Kurtis MacDermid
P2 06:22
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
P2 06:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Charlie Lindgren
P2 04:48
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Claude Giroux
P2 04:45
SHOT
Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P2 04:27
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
P2 04:27
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Dylan Cozens assisted by Drake Batherson and Tim Stutzle
3-0
P2 04:11
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
P2 03:27
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
P2 03:27
Stoppage
P2 03:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
P2 02:44
SHOT
Justin Sourdif shot blocked by Lars Eller
P2 02:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
P2 01:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Charlie Lindgren
P2 01:25
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
P2 01:25
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 01:09
SHOT
Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P2 00:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Senators
P2 00:35
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P2 00:35
Stoppage - Icing
P2 00:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Claude Giroux
P2 00:00
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:42
SHOT
Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P1 19:19
SHOT
Trevor van Riemsdyk shot blocked by Nick Cousins
P1 18:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 18:14
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
P1 18:14
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 18:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Charlie Lindgren
P1 17:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P1 16:29
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
P1 16:29
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 16:29
Penalty to Pierre-Luc Dubois 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Kurtis MacDermid)
P1 16:29
Penalty to Kurtis MacDermid 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 15:57
Tom Wilson credited with hit on Ridly Greig in defensive zone
P1 15:55
SHOT
Dylan Cozens shot blocked by teammate
P1 15:35
SHOT
Dylan McIlrath shot blocked by Michael Amadio
P1 14:35
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Nick Cousins in neutral zone
P1 14:17
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P1 14:17
Stoppage - Icing
P1 14:05
Tim Stutzle credited with hit on Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
P1 13:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 13:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Senators saved by Charlie Lindgren
P1 13:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Charlie Lindgren
P1 13:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 13:17
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
P1 13:17
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 13:15
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Tim Stutzle
P1 12:03
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
P1 12:03
Stoppage - Offside
P1 12:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
P1 11:35
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
P1 11:35
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 11:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Charlie Lindgren
P1 11:21
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
P1 11:21
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 11:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Charlie Lindgren
P1 10:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
P1 10:24
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P1 10:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
P1 09:56
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P1 09:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Charlie Lindgren
P1 08:51
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Shane Pinto
P1 08:32
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 08:17
SHOT
Power play - Shane Pinto shot blocked by John Carlson
P1 07:54
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by David Perron
P1 07:42
Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P1 07:42
Penalty to Tom Wilson 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 07:28
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Dylan Cozens
P1 06:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
P1 06:31
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P1 06:31
Stoppage - Icing
P1 06:11
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
P1 05:54
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
P1 05:54
Stoppage - Icing
P1 05:45
SHOT
Ridly Greig shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P1 05:42
SHOT
Nick Jensen shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P1 05:31
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
P1 05:31
Stoppage - Offside
P1 05:25
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
P1 05:25
Stoppage - Icing
P1 04:43
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Charlie Lindgren
P1 04:16
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Carlson
P1 04:04
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P1 03:34
Power play - Connor McMichael won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
P1 03:34
Stoppage - Skater Puck Frozen
P1 03:32
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P1 03:05
Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P1 03:05
Penalty to Nikolas Matinpalo 2 minutes for Holding
P1 02:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikolas Matinpalo saved by Charlie Lindgren
P1 02:31
Lars Eller won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
P1 02:31
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:23
SHOT
Tom Wilson shot blocked by Artem Zub
P1 02:22
Nick Cousins credited with hit on John Carlson in defensive zone
P1 01:58
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
P1 01:58
GOAL
Goal scored by Dylan Cozens
1-0
P1 01:49
SHOT
Ridly Greig shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
P1 01:13
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
P1 01:13
Stoppage
P1 00:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Claude Giroux
P1 00:07
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P1 00:07
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
P1 00:00
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Senators
STATS
Capitals
34Shots on Goal13
61%Faceoff Win %39%
4/3 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
12Penalty Infraction Mins16
12Hits28
23Shots Blocked11
14Giveaways12
SenatorsOTT
CapitalsWSH
34Shots on Goal13
61%Faceoff Win %39%
4/3 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
12Penalty Infraction Mins16
12Hits28
23Shots Blocked11
14Giveaways12

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Senators vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Senators vs. Capitals
  • Date: Saturday, October 25, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Senators +112, Capitals -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Senators: 45%
  • Capitals: 55%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 45%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Senators in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Senators vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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