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Senators vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Capitals NHL game on October 25, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
7
1
Oct 25, 11PM Capital One Arena
Oct 25, 11PM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Senators | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Capitals | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Senators | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Capitals | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
P3 19:10 Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:38 Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P3 18:32 Matt Roy shot blocked by Ridly Greig
P3 17:21 Connor McMichael shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 17:08 Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Nick Cousins
P3 17:01 Matt Roy shot blocked by Michael Amadio
P3 16:00 Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P3 15:10 Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 14:22 Goal scored by Drake Batherson
P3 13:41 Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 13:18 Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 13:14 Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 12:25 Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P3 12:20 Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 11:35 Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 11:13 Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 10:36 Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 09:47 Power play - Goal scored by Thomas Chabot
P3 08:12 Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 07:40 Shot missed by Shane Pinto
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
End of 3rd Period.
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Ridly Greig
SHOT
Connor McMichael shot blocked by Artem Zub
Lars Eller won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Nick Cousins
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Michael Amadio
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Nick Jensen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Charlie Lindgren
Lars Eller won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Lars Eller won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Drake Batherson
7-1
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Tom Wilson in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Linus Ullmark
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
Lars Eller won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Linus Ullmark
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Nikolas Matinpalo in neutral zone
Lars Eller won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Lars Eller won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Thomas Chabot
6-1
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
Penalty to Justin Sourdif 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Fabian Zetterlund)
Senators won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Shane Pinto
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
SHOT
Shot missed by Capitals
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Capitals saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Shot missed by Nic Dowd
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Roy
SHOT
Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by John Carlson
Lars Eller won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Senators
Lars Eller won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Linus Ullmark
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Lars Eller shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Jensen saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Charlie Lindgren
Lars Eller won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Drake Batherson
4-0
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Charlie Lindgren
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
SHOT
Power play - Shane Pinto shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
Penalty to Martin Fehervary 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Alex Ovechkin 2 minutes for Misconduct
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Charlie Lindgren
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Dylan McIlrath shot blocked by Kurtis MacDermid
SHOT
Shot missed by Lars Eller
Lars Eller won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Linus Ullmark
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Charlie Lindgren
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Pierre-Luc Dubois
SHOT
Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Jensen saved by Charlie Lindgren
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kurtis MacDermid saved by Charlie Lindgren
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Ryan Leonard credited with hit on Tyler Kleven in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Power play - John Carlson shot blocked by teammate
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
Penalty to Shane Pinto 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Connor McMichael shot blocked by Shane Pinto
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Linus Ullmark
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Nick Cousins 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Brandon Duhaime 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Linus Ullmark
John Carlson credited with hit on Michael Amadio in neutral zone
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McMichael
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan McIlrath
SHOT
Shot missed by Ridly Greig
Pierre-Luc Dubois credited with hit on Jake Sanderson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Nick Jensen
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
SHOT
Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by Kurtis MacDermid
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Claude Giroux
SHOT
Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Nick Jensen
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Dylan Cozens assisted by Drake Batherson and Tim Stutzle
3-0
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
SHOT
Justin Sourdif shot blocked by Lars Eller
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Charlie Lindgren
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
SHOT
Shot missed by Senators
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Claude Giroux
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
SHOT
Trevor van Riemsdyk shot blocked by Nick Cousins
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Linus Ullmark
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Tom Wilson
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Pierre-Luc Dubois 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Kurtis MacDermid)
Penalty to Kurtis MacDermid 2 minutes for Misconduct
Tom Wilson credited with hit on Ridly Greig in defensive zone
SHOT
Dylan Cozens shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Dylan McIlrath shot blocked by Michael Amadio
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Nick Cousins in neutral zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Tim Stutzle credited with hit on Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Shot on goal by Senators saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Linus Ullmark
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Tim Stutzle
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Charlie Lindgren
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Shane Pinto
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Linus Ullmark
SHOT
Power play - Shane Pinto shot blocked by John Carlson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by David Perron
Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Penalty to Tom Wilson 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Dylan Cozens
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Ridly Greig shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
SHOT
Nick Jensen shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Carlson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
Power play - Connor McMichael won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
Stoppage - Skater Puck Frozen
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Penalty to Nikolas Matinpalo 2 minutes for Holding
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikolas Matinpalo saved by Charlie Lindgren
Lars Eller won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Tom Wilson shot blocked by Artem Zub
Nick Cousins credited with hit on John Carlson in defensive zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Dylan Cozens
1-0
SHOT
Ridly Greig shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot missed by Claude Giroux
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 34 | Shots on Goal | 13 | |||
| 61% | Faceoff Win % | 39% | |||
| 4/3 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 12 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 16 | |||
| 12 | Hits | 28 | |||
| 23 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 14 | Giveaways | 12 |
| |
|---|
| 34 | Shots on Goal | 13 | |||
| 61% | Faceoff Win % | 39% | |||
| 4/3 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 12 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 16 | |||
| 12 | Hits | 28 | |||
| 23 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 14 | Giveaways | 12 |
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Senators vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Senators vs. Capitals
- Date: Saturday, October 25, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Senators +112, Capitals -125
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Senators: 45%
- Capitals: 55%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 45%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Senators in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Senators vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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