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Read Article Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Odds, La Liga Picks [5/15/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid matchup.
Osasuna will take on Atletico Madrid in La Liga action at Estadio El Sadar on Thursday, starting at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven La Liga model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Atletico Madrid as the most likely winner of the game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Osasuna-Atletico Madrid game 10,000 times," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.
"Incorporating the most recent updates along with numerous other variables, our prediction gives Osasuna a 28.1% chance of winning, Atletico Madrid a 45.1% chance, and a 26.7% chance of a draw."
For further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20SOCCER Get Dimers Pro Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction: Who Will Win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's La Liga match between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 28.1% chance of Osasuna winning, a 45.1% chance for Atletico Madrid, and a 26.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 55% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 4:17PM, May 15
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Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid Odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Osasuna | Atletico Madrid | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +290 | +110 | +220 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +106 | -128 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in the Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best La Liga picks and La Liga best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Osasuna-Atletico Madrid Pick Get Dimers Pro Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| OSA 1-1 ATM | 12.7% |
| OSA 0-1 ATM | 12% |
| OSA 1-0 ATM | 9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.1% chance that both Osasuna and Atletico Madrid score, and a 50.9% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Thursday's La Liga matchup between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid at Estadio El Sadar is scheduled to begin in the USA at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid
- Date: Thursday, May 15, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Estadio El Sadar
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Thursday's Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna picks, be sure to check out the latest La Liga predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Osasuna has a 28.1% win probability on Thursday, Atletico Madrid has a 45.1% win probability, and there is a 26.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on La Liga
Stay up-to-date with the latest La Liga betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our La Liga futures odds offer the latest probabilities for each La Liga title contender.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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