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Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid at the La Liga on May 15, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
0
2
May 15, 5PM Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Iruñea))
Osasuna
May 15, 5PM Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Iruñea))
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
OsasunaOSA
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
A. Catena (25')
Soccer ball icon
A. Budimir (82')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
OSA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: R. Garcia replaces A. Budimir
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: M. Gomez replaces A. Oroz
82'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Osasuna by A. Budimir, assisted by K. Barja
0-2
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: A. Bretones replaces J. Cruz
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: I. Munoz replaces B. Zaragoza
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: J. Moncayola replaces P. Ibanez
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Gallagher replaces A. Sorloth
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Correa replaces Koke
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Griezmann replaces J. Alvarez
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: K. Barja replaces R. Pena
52'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: N. Molina replaces P. Barrios
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Azpilicueta replaces J. Galan
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: S. Lino replaces G. Simeone
40'
Yellow Card
P. Ibanez (Osasuna) cautioned
25'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Osasuna by A. Catena, assisted by B. Zaragoza
0-1
25'
Yellow Card
R. de Paul (Atl. Madrid) cautioned

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Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Thursday, May 15, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Sadar
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Osasuna +270, Atletico Madrid +115, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+102/-110)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Osasuna: 27.5%
  • Atletico Madrid: 46.7%
  • Draw: 25.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Osasuna 1-1 Atletico Madrid, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Osasuna is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 27.5% probability, while Atletico Madrid sits at 46.7%, with the draw at 25.8%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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