Thunder vs. Kings prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Friday's NBA game [11/7/2025]

The Sacramento Kings and Oklahoma City Thunder are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Golden 1 Center on Friday, starting at 10:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Thunder vs. Kings game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Kings lineup will feature stars like Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan and Russell Westbrook, while the Thunder will be led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Ajay Mitchell.

This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Thunder vs. Kings prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA game between the Thunder and Kings 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Thunder a 79% chance of beating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 121-111.

According to our model, the Kings (+11.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 234.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.

Thunder vs. Kings odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Thunder vs. Kings picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Kings +11.5 at the spread.

Thunder vs. Kings player props

Betting on Thunder vs. Kings NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Golden 1 Center.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder with 30 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists, while Zach LaVine is projected to have 22 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists for the Kings.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Thunder prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Thunder are:

Kings prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Kings:

Thunder vs. Kings game-day updates and essential details

Friday's action between the Kings and Thunder at Golden 1 Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Sacramento Kings
• Date: Friday, November 7, 2025
• Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Golden 1 Center

Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Kings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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