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Thunder vs. Pelicans prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [11/17/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans predictions for NBA Monday.
The New Orleans Pelicans and Oklahoma City Thunder are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Smoothie King Center on Monday, with tipoff at 8:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Thunder vs. Pelicans game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pelicans lineup will feature stars like Trey Murphy, Jeremiah Fears and Derik Queen, while the Thunder will rely on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Ajay Mitchell.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Thunder vs. Pelicans prediction: Who will win and cover?
As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Monday's clash between the Thunder and Pelicans.
According to our model, the Pelicans (+18.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 223.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Thunder vs. Pelicans odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Thunder | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -18.5 (-108) | +18.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -2100 | +1400 |
| Total | o223.5 (-105) | u223.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Thunder vs. Pelicans picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pelicans +18.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Pelicans | +1400 |
| Total | Over 223.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Pelicans +18.5 at the spread.
Thunder vs. Pelicans player props
Looking for Thunder vs. Pelicans NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Smoothie King Center.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder with 31 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists, while Trey Murphy is projected to have 22 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists for the Pelicans.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Thunder prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Thunder are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 31 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 54 |
| Chet Holmgren | 17 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 38 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 15 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 31 |
| Isaiah Joe | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 23 |
| I. Hartenstein | 12 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 37 |
Pelicans prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pelicans:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy | 22 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 41 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 30 |
| Derik Queen | 13 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 30 |
| Herbert Jones | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
Thunder vs. Pelicans game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Pelicans and Thunder at Smoothie King Center is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Monday, November 17, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
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Conclusion
We predict the Thunder, with a 91% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Monday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 54 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Pelicans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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