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Rangers vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [10/16/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get NY Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs predictions for NHL Thursday.
NHL action continues on Thursday at 7:00PM ET as the NY Rangers square off with the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of today's game.
For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Rangers vs. Maple Leafs predictions page.
Rangers vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Who will win, cover the puck line?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Rangers and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Maple Leafs a 54% chance of defeating the Rangers.
According to our model, the Rangers (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6 goals has a 51% chance of going over.
Rangers vs. Maple Leafs odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rangers | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-190) | -1.5 (+170) |
| Moneyline | +130 | -150 |
| Total | o6 (-105) | u6 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Rangers vs. Maple Leafs picks and best bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Rangers vs. Maple Leafs matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Rangers vs. Maple Leafs player props
Who will score the first goal in Rangers vs. Maple Leafs?
According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Rangers vs. Maple Leafs.
Our projections give Matthews an 8.7% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 45.2% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First goal scorer predictions
NY Rangers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Artemi Panarin | 8.3% |
| J.T. Miller | 6.4% |
| Mika Zibanejad | 5.8% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 8.7% |
| William Nylander | 6.7% |
| John Tavares | 6.2% |
Anytime goal scorer predictions
NY Rangers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Artemi Panarin | 42.0% |
| J.T. Miller | 32.2% |
| Mika Zibanejad | 28.4% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 45.2% |
| William Nylander | 35.7% |
| John Tavares | 33.3% |
Rangers vs. Maple Leafs game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Maple Leafs and Rangers at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: NY Rangers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Thursday, October 16, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Dimers' comprehensive preview of Thursday's Rangers vs. Maple Leafs matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Rangers vs. Maple Leafs picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Rangers on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rangers vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Stay up-to-date with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most accurate projections for the Stanley Cup title.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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