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Rangers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rangers vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on October 16, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Rangers
1
2
Oct 16, 11PM Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Oct 16, 11PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123OTT
Rangers
00101
Maple Leafs
10012
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
RangersNYR
Win %
0%
100%
Maple LeafsTOR
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Rangers
00101
Maple Leafs
10012
OT1 00:57 Shot missed by William Nylander
OT1 00:30 Shot missed by Mika Zibanejad
P3 19:09 Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 18:44 Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
P3 18:24 Shot on goal by Urho Vaakanainen saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:51 Shot on goal by J.T. Miller saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:47 Shot on goal by Matt Rempe saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:03 Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 13:45 Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 13:05 Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 11:50 Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
P3 11:45 Shot missed by Will Cuylle
P3 11:37 Shot on goal by Adam Fox saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 11:33 Shot missed by Will Cuylle
P3 11:09 William Nylander shot blocked by Braden Schneider
P3 10:35 Shot missed by Conor Sheary
P3 10:14 Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 09:16 Shot missed by Jake McCabe
P3 08:35 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 05:47 Shot missed by Will Borgen
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
OT1 05:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 00:58
Rangers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
OT1 00:57
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
OT1 00:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Mika Zibanejad
OT1 00:00
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:11
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
P3 19:11
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 19:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 19:03
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 19:03
Stoppage - Icing
P3 18:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
P3 18:36
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P3 18:36
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 18:32
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against J.T. Miller in defensive zone
P3 18:32
Stoppage - Icing
P3 18:26
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against J.T. Miller in defensive zone
P3 18:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 18:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Urho Vaakanainen saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 18:01
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P3 18:01
Stoppage - Offside
P3 16:53
J.T. Miller won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 16:53
Stoppage - Player Equipment
P3 16:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.T. Miller saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Rempe saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:25
Sam Carrick won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 16:25
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 13:56
Auston Matthews won faceoff against J.T. Miller in offensive zone
P3 13:56
Stoppage - Icing
P3 13:45
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 13:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 11:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
P3 11:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Will Cuylle
P3 11:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Fox saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 11:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Will Cuylle
P3 11:09
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Braden Schneider
P3 10:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Sheary
P3 10:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 09:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
P3 08:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 07:16
Max Domi won faceoff against J.T. Miller in neutral zone
P3 07:16
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P3 06:09
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sam Carrick in defensive zone
P3 06:09
Stoppage - Icing
P3 05:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Will Borgen
P3 05:33
Will Cuylle won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P3 05:33
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 05:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Rempe saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 04:51
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
P3 04:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Braden Schneider saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 04:41
SHOT
Juuso Parssinen shot blocked by Calle Jarnkrok
P3 04:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Braden Schneider saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 03:52
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 03:52
Stoppage - Icing
P3 03:16
Simon Benoit credited with hit on Matt Rempe in defensive zone
P3 03:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Rempe
P3 03:01
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Matt Rempe
P3 02:58
William Nylander won faceoff against Sam Carrick in offensive zone
P3 02:58
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 02:56
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Sam Carrick
P3 02:52
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sam Carrick in offensive zone
P3 02:52
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 02:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 02:43
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Adam Fox in defensive zone
P3 02:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Vladislav Gavrikov
P3 02:31
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
P3 02:21
SHOT
Shot missed by J.T. Miller
P3 02:17
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
P3 02:17
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 02:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Braden Schneider saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 02:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Urho Vaakanainen saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 01:47
SHOT
Taylor Raddysh shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 01:11
Will Cuylle credited with hit on Matthew Knies in offensive zone
P3 00:51
SHOT
Shot missed by J.T. Miller
P3 00:00
John Tavares won faceoff against J.T. Miller in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 18:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 17:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
P2 17:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
P2 17:22
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Juuso Parssinen
P2 16:53
Max Domi won faceoff against Noah Laba in defensive zone
P2 16:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 16:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Carrick saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 16:42
SHOT
Matias Maccelli shot blocked by Adam Edstrom
P2 16:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 14:39
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 13:58
Power play - Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P2 13:58
Penalty to Simon Benoit 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Conor Sheary)
P2 13:50
SHOT
Alexis Lafreniere shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P2 13:44
SHOT
Shot missed by J.T. Miller
P2 13:41
SHOT
Alexis Lafreniere shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P2 13:24
John Tavares won faceoff against J.T. Miller in offensive zone
P2 13:24
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 13:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 13:21
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Sam Carrick
P2 13:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 12:41
Sam Carrick won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P2 12:41
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 12:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 12:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Will Cuylle
P2 11:55
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P2 11:55
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 11:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Robertson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 11:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.T. Miller saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 10:43
Noah Laba won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P2 10:43
Stoppage - Icing
P2 10:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 09:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Carrick saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 09:44
John Tavares won faceoff against Sam Carrick in defensive zone
P2 09:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 09:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Rempe saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 09:31
Sam Carrick won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
P2 09:31
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 09:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 09:04
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 09:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Chris Tanev saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 08:56
SHOT
Matias Maccelli shot blocked by Vladislav Gavrikov
P2 08:42
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 08:20
SHOT
Adam Fox shot blocked by William Nylander
P2 06:55
Takeaway by Matt Rempe in defensive zone
P2 06:33
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Will Borgen in offensive zone
P2 06:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juuso Parssinen saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 06:08
Noah Laba won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
P2 06:08
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P2 05:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P2 05:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Easton Cowan
P2 05:02
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P2 04:52
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
P2 04:52
Stoppage - Icing
P2 04:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vladislav Gavrikov saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 03:57
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Maple Leafs in offensive zone
P2 03:56
J.T. Miller won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P2 03:56
J.T. Miller won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P2 03:56
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 03:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Will Borgen
P2 02:02
Max Domi won faceoff against Noah Laba in neutral zone
P2 02:02
Stoppage - Offside
P2 01:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 01:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 00:51
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 00:50
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
P2 00:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
P2 00:46
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
P2 00:46
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 00:37
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 00:00
John Tavares won faceoff against J.T. Miller in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:54
SHOT
Will Borgen shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P1 19:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Will Borgen saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 19:27
Artemi Panarin credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
P1 19:07
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P1 19:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vladislav Gavrikov saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 18:44
John Tavares won faceoff against J.T. Miller in defensive zone
P1 18:44
Stoppage - Icing
P1 18:30
Sam Carrick won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P1 18:30
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 18:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 17:37
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 17:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 17:24
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Artemi Panarin saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 17:03
Power play - Will Cuylle credited with hit on Chris Tanev in offensive zone
P1 17:00
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Matt Rempe in defensive zone
P1 17:00
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 16:57
SHOT
Power play - Mika Zibanejad shot blocked by teammate
P1 16:27
SHOT
Power play - Alexis Lafreniere shot blocked by Dakota Joshua
P1 16:20
SHOT
Power play - Adam Fox shot blocked by Dakota Joshua
P1 16:18
Power play - J.T. Miller won faceoff against Dakota Joshua in offensive zone
P1 16:18
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 16:17
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Artemi Panarin saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 15:55
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mika Zibanejad
P1 15:43
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
P1 15:43
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 15:43
Penalty to Matthew Knies 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Artemi Panarin)
P1 15:31
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P1 15:13
SHOT
Adam Fox shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P1 15:08
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P1 15:08
Stoppage - Icing
P1 12:55
Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Urho Vaakanainen in offensive zone
P1 12:32
Easton Cowan credited with hit on Alexis Lafreniere in neutral zone
P1 11:48
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P1 11:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 11:38
Shorthanded - J.T. Miller won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
P1 11:38
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 11:36
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 11:21
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P1 11:09
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 11:02
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 10:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P1 10:26
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 10:00
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
P1 10:00
Penalty to Will Cuylle 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by John Tavares)
P1 09:25
SHOT
Sam Carrick shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P1 09:14
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sam Carrick in neutral zone
P1 09:14
Stoppage - Offside
P1 08:40
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Adam Fox saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 08:29
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
P1 08:01
Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against J.T. Miller in defensive zone
P1 08:01
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 07:58
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 07:41
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 07:26
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Adam Fox
P1 07:22
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against J.T. Miller in defensive zone
P1 07:22
Penalty to Dakota Joshua 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Will Cuylle)
P1 07:22
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 07:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 05:45
Power play - Giveaway by Easton Cowan in offensive zone
P1 05:08
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Will Borgen
P1 04:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 04:20
Shorthanded - Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 04:20
Penalty to Artemi Panarin 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Jake McCabe)
P1 03:30
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P1 01:30
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Will Borgen in offensive zone
P1 01:20
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P1 01:20
Stoppage - Icing
P1 01:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 00:50
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in neutral zone
P1 00:00
J.T. Miller won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Rangers
STATS
Maple Leafs
29Shots on Goal24
53%Faceoff Win %47%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
22Hits18
10Shots Blocked13
13Giveaways21
RangersNYR
Maple LeafsTOR
29Shots on Goal24
53%Faceoff Win %47%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
22Hits18
10Shots Blocked13
13Giveaways21

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Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rangers vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Thursday, October 16, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Rangers +135, Maple Leafs -148

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rangers: 46%
  • Maple Leafs: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rangers a win probability of 46%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Rangers in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rangers vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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