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Rangers vs. Lightning prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Wednesday's NHL matchup [11/12/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get NY Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning predictions for NHL Wednesday.
The Tampa Bay Lightning will take on the NY Rangers in NHL action at Benchmark International Arena on Wednesday, beginning at 7:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of the Rangers vs. Lightning game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including goal scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.
Rangers vs. Lightning prediction: Who will win?
As part of our NHL predictions coverage—of which we recently reviewed the past week of results—our NHL pre-match model has simulated the upcoming clash between the Rangers and Lightning, producing moneyline, puck line, and over/under probabilities.
According to our model, the 5.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
Rangers vs. Lightning odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rangers | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +105 | -122 |
| Total | o5.5 (-115) | u5.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rangers vs. Lightning picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lightning | -122 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -115 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Lightning to win.
Rangers vs. Lightning player props
Who will score a goal in Rangers vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Nikita Kucherov is most likely to score an anytime goal in Rangers vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Kucherov a 41.4% chance of scoring a goal at Benchmark International Arena, while the star is an 8.7% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
NY Rangers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Artemi Panarin | 35.0% |
| J.T. Miller | 29.7% |
| Mika Zibanejad | 26.9% |
| Will Cuylle | 22.3% |
| Alexis Lafreniere | 21.3% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov | 41.4% |
| Brayden Point | 40.3% |
| Jake Guentzel | 40.0% |
| Brandon Hagel | 36.3% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 27.0% |
First goal scorer predictions
NY Rangers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Artemi Panarin | 6.9% |
| J.T. Miller | 5.7% |
| Mika Zibanejad | 4.9% |
| Will Cuylle | 4.2% |
| Alexis Lafreniere | 3.9% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov | 8.7% |
| Jake Guentzel | 8.6% |
| Brayden Point | 8.0% |
| Brandon Hagel | 7.3% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 5.3% |
Rangers vs. Lightning game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's action between the Lightning and Rangers at Benchmark International Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: NY Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Wednesday, November 12, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Rangers on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rangers vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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