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Islanders vs. Golden Knights prediction: Vegas favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [11/13/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NY Islanders vs Vegas Golden Knights predictions for NHL Thursday.
The Vegas Golden Knights and NY Islanders will lock horns in the NHL at T-Mobile Arena on Thursday, with puck drop at 10:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Golden Knights as the most likely winner of the Islanders vs. Golden Knights game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Isles vs. Golden Knights prediction: Who will win?
As part of Dimers' NHL predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, puck line, and over/under probabilities for Thursday's clash between the Islanders and Golden Knights.
According to our model, the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Islanders vs. Golden Knights odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Islanders | Golden Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +160 | -190 |
| Total | o6 (-120) | u6 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Islanders vs. Golden Knights picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Islanders | +160 |
| Total | Under 6 | +100 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6 total goals.
Islanders vs. Golden Knights player props
Who will score a goal in Islanders vs. Golden Knights?
According to our model, Pavel Dorofeyev is most likely to score an anytime goal in Islanders vs. Golden Knights.
Our projections give Dorofeyev a 41.0% chance of scoring a goal at T-Mobile Arena, while the star is an 8.9% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
NY Islanders
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 34.3% |
| Anders Lee | 24.3% |
| Kyle Palmieri | 22.3% |
| Mathew Barzal | 21.4% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 20.6% |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 41.0% |
| Jack Eichel | 37.0% |
| Tomas Hertl | 36.0% |
| Ivan Barbashev | 29.4% |
| Mitch Marner | 28.6% |
First goal scorer predictions
NY Islanders
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 6.5% |
| Kyle Palmieri | 4.4% |
| Anders Lee | 3.9% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 3.8% |
| Mathew Barzal | 3.5% |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 8.9% |
| Jack Eichel | 7.5% |
| Tomas Hertl | 7.1% |
| Ivan Barbashev | 5.9% |
| Mitch Marner | 5.8% |
Isles vs. Golden Knights game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Golden Knights and Islanders at T-Mobile Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00PM ET.
- Who: NY Islanders vs. Vegas Golden Knights
- Date: Thursday, November 13, 2025
- Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena
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Conclusion
We predict the Golden Knights, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Islanders vs. Golden Knights insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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