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Islanders vs. Oilers prediction: Why Edmonton is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [1/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NY Islanders vs Edmonton Oilers predictions for NHL Thursday.
The Edmonton Oilers and NY Islanders will meet in the NHL at Rogers Place on Thursday, with puck drop at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Oilers as the most likely winner of the Islanders vs. Oilers game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Isles vs. Oilers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Islanders and Oilers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Oilers a 59% chance of defeating the Islanders.
According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 54% chance of staying under.
Islanders vs. Oilers odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Islanders | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-170) | -1.5 (+145) |
| Moneyline | +138 | -162 |
| Total | o6.5 (-105) | u6.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Islanders vs. Oilers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Islanders +1.5 | -170 |
| Moneyline | Islanders | +138 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -110 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Islanders vs. Oilers player props
Who will score a goal in Islanders vs. Oilers?
According to our model, Leon Draisaitl is most likely to score an anytime goal in Islanders vs. Oilers.
Our projections give Draisaitl a 44.3% chance of scoring a goal at Rogers Place, while the star is an 8.6% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
NY Islanders
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Simon Holmstrom | 26.9% |
| Anders Lee | 25.2% |
| Mathew Barzal | 25.0% |
| Anthony Duclair | 20.3% |
| Calum Ritchie | 18.6% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 44.3% |
| Connor McDavid | 42.0% |
| Zach Hyman | 38.8% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 23.1% |
| Jack Roslovic | 22.0% |
First goal scorer predictions
NY Islanders
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Simon Holmstrom | 5.0% |
| Anders Lee | 4.8% |
| Mathew Barzal | 4.7% |
| Anthony Duclair | 3.6% |
| Emil Heineman | 3.4% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 8.7% |
| Leon Draisaitl | 8.6% |
| Zach Hyman | 7.6% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 4.3% |
| Jack Roslovic | 3.9% |
Isles vs. Oilers game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Oilers and Islanders at Rogers Place is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: NY Islanders vs. Edmonton Oilers
- Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Rogers Place
Conclusion
We predict the Oilers, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Islanders vs. Oilers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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