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Islanders vs. Oilers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Islanders vs. Oilers NHL game on January 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Islanders
1
0
Jan 16, 2AM Rogers Place
Oilers
Jan 16, 2AM Rogers Place
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Islanders
0 0 1 1
Oilers
0 0 0 0
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
IslandersNYI
Win %
100%
0%
OilersEDM
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Islanders
0 0 1 1
Oilers
0 0 0 0
P3 19:24 Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 19:14 Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P3 18:41 Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P3 18:33 Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P3 16:05 Shot missed by Jack Roslovic
P3 14:49 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 14:01 Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Marc Gatcomb
P3 13:05 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:29 Power play - Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
P3 11:43 Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P3 11:22 Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 11:01 Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 10:04 Mathew Barzal shot blocked by teammate
P3 08:06 Shot on goal by Ty Emberson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 07:23 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 06:45 Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
P3 05:59 Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 03:30 Power play - Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P3 03:01 Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 02:01 Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Ilya Sorokin
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 19:18
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P3 19:18
Stoppage - Icing
P3 19:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P3 18:41
SHOT
Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P3 18:33
SHOT
Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P3 17:29
Kyle MacLean credited with hit on Ty Emberson in defensive zone
P3 17:29
Giveaway by Matthew Schaefer in defensive zone
P3 17:24
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in defensive zone
P3 17:24
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Roslovic
P3 15:14
Giveaway by Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P3 14:51
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P3 14:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 14:01
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Marc Gatcomb
P3 13:05
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:31
Shorthanded - Connor McDavid won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
P3 12:31
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 12:29
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
P3 11:57
Takeaway by Matthew Schaefer in defensive zone
P3 11:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P3 11:32
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
P3 11:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 11:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 10:17
Giveaway by Matthew Schaefer in defensive zone
P3 10:04
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by teammate
P3 09:29
Giveaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P3 09:22
Islanders won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
P3 08:58
Spencer Stastney credited with hit on Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
P3 08:25
Giveaway by Matthew Schaefer in defensive zone
P3 08:08
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in defensive zone
P3 08:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ty Emberson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 07:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 06:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
P3 05:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 03:52
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in defensive zone
P3 03:30
SHOT
Power play - Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P3 03:04
Power play - Connor McDavid won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P3 03:01
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 02:13
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P3 02:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 01:22
Giveaway by Anthony Duclair in defensive zone
P3 00:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 00:32
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:32
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P2 19:12
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Connor Ingram
P2 18:54
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mattias Janmark
P2 18:42
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P2 17:53
SHOT
Jake Walman shot blocked by Max Shabanov
P2 17:26
Giveaway by Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
P2 16:23
SHOT
Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by teammate
P2 16:22
Islanders won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
P2 15:17
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
P2 14:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 13:15
SHOT
Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P2 13:13
Islanders won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
P2 13:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Connor Ingram
P2 12:03
SHOT
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shot blocked by Jonathan Drouin
P2 10:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 10:43
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
P2 10:43
Stoppage - Icing
P2 10:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
P2 09:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Savoie
P2 09:31
SHOT
Isaac Howard shot blocked by Adam Boqvist
P2 09:06
Anders Lee won faceoff against Oilers in offensive zone
P2 09:06
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 06:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 05:46
SHOT
Anthony Duclair shot blocked by Spencer Stastney
P2 05:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Anders Lee
P2 05:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Spencer Stastney
P2 05:12
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Anders Lee in offensive zone
P2 04:27
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P2 04:27
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 03:40
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
P2 03:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 02:44
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in neutral zone
P2 02:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 02:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 01:59
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 01:56
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P2 01:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 00:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kasperi Kapanen saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 00:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:44
Islanders won faceoff against Trent Frederic in offensive zone
P1 19:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
P1 19:27
Trent Frederic won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P1 19:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
P1 18:11
Takeaway by Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P1 18:06
Giveaway by Adam Pelech in defensive zone
P1 18:02
Stoppage - Icing
P1 17:56
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
P1 17:36
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
P1 17:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 17:32
SHOT
Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P1 16:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Walman
P1 16:34
SHOT
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
P1 16:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Connor Ingram
P1 15:23
Giveaway by Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
P1 14:06
Giveaway by Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P1 13:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Spencer Stastney
P1 13:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
P1 13:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 13:15
Stoppage - Icing
P1 13:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 12:31
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 12:08
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
P1 11:54
Vasily Podkolzin credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
P1 11:35
SHOT
Vasily Podkolzin shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P1 11:01
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
P1 10:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Curtis Lazar
P1 10:32
Anders Lee won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in offensive zone
P1 10:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Connor Ingram
P1 09:31
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
P1 08:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Connor Ingram
P1 07:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P1 07:39
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
P1 07:39
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 07:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Connor Ingram
P1 05:34
Giveaway by Jake Walman in defensive zone
P1 05:21
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Trent Frederic in offensive zone
P1 04:53
SHOT
Adam Boqvist shot blocked by teammate
P1 04:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P1 04:03
SHOT
Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P1 02:55
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P1 02:55
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Marc Gatcomb
P1 01:58
Giveaway by Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
P1 01:48
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Trent Frederic in offensive zone
P1 01:41
Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Emil Heineman in defensive zone
P1 01:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Connor Ingram
P1 01:25
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P1 00:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Connor Ingram
P1 00:00
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Islanders
STATS
Oilers
18Shots on Goal35
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
1/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins2
15Hits16
16Shots Blocked8
15Giveaways16
IslandersNYI
OilersEDM
18Shots on Goal35
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
1/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins2
15Hits16
16Shots Blocked8
15Giveaways16

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Islanders vs. Oilers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Islanders vs. Oilers
  • Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Rogers Place

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Oilers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Islanders +148, Oilers -170

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Islanders: 40%
  • Oilers: 60%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Islanders a win probability of 40%, while the Oilers have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at Rogers Place on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Islanders vs. Oilers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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