Islanders vs. Avalanche prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [11/16/2025]

The Colorado Avalanche will face the NY Islanders in NHL action at Ball Arena on Sunday, commencing at 9:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Avalanche as the most likely winner of the Islanders vs. Avalanche game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Isles vs. Avs prediction: Who will win and cover?

As part of Dimers' NHL predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, puck line, and over/under probabilities for Sunday's clash between the Islanders and Avalanche.

According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 54% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Islanders vs. Avalanche odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Islanders	Avalanche
Puck Line	+1.5 (-114)	-1.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+210	-250
Total	o6.5 (-108)	u6.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Islanders vs. Avalanche picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Islanders +1.5	-114
Moneyline	Islanders	+210
Total	Under 6.5	-102

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

Islanders vs. Avalanche player props

Who will score a goal in Islanders vs. Avalanche?

According to our model, Nathan MacKinnon is most likely to score an anytime goal in Islanders vs. Avalanche.

Our projections give MacKinnon a 39.6% chance of scoring a goal at Ball Arena, while the star is an 8.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

NY Islanders

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Bo Horvat	32.5%
Mathew Barzal	22.7%
Anders Lee	21.9%
Simon Holmstrom	21.6%
Kyle Palmieri	21.3%

Colorado Avalanche

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Nathan MacKinnon	39.6%
Martin Necas	39.0%
Artturi Lehkonen	32.4%
Cale Makar	31.4%
Brock Nelson	26.7%

First goal scorer predictions

NY Islanders

Player	First Goal Probability
Bo Horvat	6.5%
Mathew Barzal	4.0%
Simon Holmstrom	3.9%
Anders Lee	3.7%
Kyle Palmieri	3.2%

Colorado Avalanche

Player	First Goal Probability
Nathan MacKinnon	8.3%
Martin Necas	7.6%
Cale Makar	6.3%
Artturi Lehkonen	5.6%
Brock Nelson	5.1%

Isles vs. Avs game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Avalanche and Islanders at Ball Arena is scheduled to commence at 9:00PM ET.

• Who: NY Islanders vs. Colorado Avalanche
• Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
• Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

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Conclusion

We predict the Avalanche, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Islanders vs. Avalanche insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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