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Northern Iowa vs. Murray State prediction: Why Murray State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/9/2026]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get Northern Iowa vs Murray State predictions for college basketball Monday.

Northern Iowa-Murray State Predictions and Game Preview.
Northern Iowa vs. Murray State men's college basketball prediction for Monday, February 9, 2026.

Murray State will face Northern Iowa in men's college basketball action at CFSB Center on Monday, commencing at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Murray State as the most likely winner of the Northern Iowa vs. Murray State game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Northern Iowa vs. Murray State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NCAA basketball game between Northern Iowa and Murray State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Murray State a 67% chance of defeating Northern Iowa. Our predicted final score has Murray State winning 75-71.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Northern Iowa and Murray State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 143.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of going over.

 

Northern Iowa vs. Murray State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Northern Iowa Murray State
Spread +4.5 (-105) -4.5 (-110)
Moneyline +180 -205
Total o143.5 (-110) u143.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Northern Iowa vs. Murray State picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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