UNC vs. North Carolina State prediction: North Carolina State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/17/2026]

North Carolina State and UNC will meet in men's college basketball action at Lenovo Center on Tuesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts North Carolina State as the most likely winner of the UNC vs. North Carolina State game.

This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

UNC vs. North Carolina State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NCAA basketball matchup between UNC and North Carolina State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives North Carolina State a 77% chance of beating North Carolina. Our predicted final score has North Carolina State winning 80-72.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and North Carolina and North Carolina State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 156.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

UNC vs. North Carolina State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

UNC vs. North Carolina State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 156.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

UNC vs. North Carolina State game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's men's college basketball matchup between North Carolina State and UNC at Lenovo Center is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: North Carolina vs. North Carolina State
• Date: Tuesday, February 17, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Lenovo Center

Conclusion

We predict North Carolina State, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat North Carolina on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate North Carolina vs. North Carolina State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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