NHL player props today: Monday's best props include Noah Dobson [12/21/2025]

Noah Dobson to score a point (+160)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 46.9%
• Game: Canadiens vs. Penguins (7:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Montreal's Noah Dobson going over 0.5 a point. A probability of 46.9% gives this play an edge of 8.5% at +160 odds.

Noah Dobson to record an assist (+220)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 39.4%
• Game: Canadiens vs. Penguins (7:00PM ET)

Noah Dobson’s an assist prop shows a 39.4% probability and an 8.2% edge at +220 odds, according to our model.

Aliaksei Protas to score a point (+135)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 50.6%
• Game: Capitals vs. Red Wings (1:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Aliaksei Protas to score a point, with simulations showing a 50.6% probability and an 8.0% edge at +135.

Evan Bouchard over 2.5 shots on goal (+105)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 56.7%
• Game: Golden Knights vs. Oilers (8:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Evan Bouchard over 2.5 shots on goal, with a 56.7% probability and an edge of 7.9% at +105 odds.

Aliaksei Protas anytime goal scorer (+370)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 28.4%
• Game: Capitals vs. Red Wings (1:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Aliaksei Protas as an anytime goal scorer for Washington, showing an edge of 7.1% at +370 odds.

Ivan Barbashev anytime goal scorer (+425)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 25.7%
• Game: Golden Knights vs. Oilers (8:00PM ET)

Ivan Barbashev’s anytime goal scorer prop shows an edge of 6.6% at +425 odds, supported by a 25.7% probability according to our model.

Arseny Gritsyuk anytime goal scorer (+450)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 24.7%
• Game: Sabres vs. Devils (7:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Arseny Gritsyuk anytime goal scorer for New Jersey, with a 24.7% probability and a 6.6% edge at +450 odds.

Ryan McLeod to score a point (+160)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 44.9%
• Game: Sabres vs. Devils (7:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Ryan McLeod to score a point, supported by a 44.9% probability at +160 odds and an edge of 6.4%.

Ivan Demidov anytime goal scorer (+330)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 29.6%
• Game: Canadiens vs. Penguins (7:00PM ET)

A 6.3% edge on the anytime goal line makes Ivan Demidov a value play in Canadiens vs. Penguins, supported by a 29.6% probability at +330 odds.

Brady Tkachuk over 3.5 shots on goal (-130)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 62.5%
• Game: Senators vs. Bruins (7:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Brady Tkachuk over 3.5 shots on goal here, with a 62.5% probability and 5.9% edge at -130 odds.

NHL player prop summary: Sunday, December 21, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 12:00AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Canadiens vs. Penguins	Noah Dobson to score a point	+160 @ DraftKings	8.5%	46.9%
Canadiens vs. Penguins	Noah Dobson to record an assist	+220 @ DraftKings	8.2%	39.4%
Capitals vs. Red Wings	Aliaksei Protas to score a point	+135 @ DraftKings	7.9%	56.7%
Golden Knights vs. Oilers	Evan Bouchard over 2.5 shots on goal	+105 @ BetMGM	7.9%	56.7%
Capitals vs. Red Wings	Aliaksei Protas anytime goal scorer	+370 @ DraftKings	7.1%	28.4%
Golden Knights vs. Oilers	Ivan Barbashev anytime goal scorer	+425 @ DraftKings	6.6%	25.7%
Sabres vs. Devils	Arseny Gritsyuk anytime goal scorer	+450 @ DraftKings	6.6%	24.7%
Sabres vs. Devils	Ryan McLeod to score a point	+160 @ DraftKings	6.4%	44.9%
Canadiens vs. Penguins	Ivan Demidov first goal scorer	+330 @ DraftKings	6.3%	29.6%
Senators vs. Bruins	Brady Tkachuk over 3.5 shots on goal	-130 @ DraftKings	5.9%	62.5%

Conclusion

For December 21, 2025, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Noah Dobson, Aliaksei Protas and Evan Bouchard. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.