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Canadiens vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Penguins NHL game on December 21, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
4
Dec 22, 12AM PPG Paints Arena
Dec 22, 12AM PPG Paints Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Penguins | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Penguins | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
OT1 04:55 Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Arturs Silovs
OT1 04:49 Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
OT1 04:18 Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Arturs Silovs
OT1 04:18 Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
OT1 03:26 Shot on goal by Canadiens saved by Arturs Silovs
OT1 02:54 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Jakub Dobes
OT1 01:37 Mike Matheson shot blocked by Bryan Rust
OT1 01:14 Shot missed by Mike Matheson
OT1 00:57 Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Arturs Silovs
OT1 00:38 Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P3 19:29 Alexandre Texier shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
P3 19:27 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Anthony Mantha
P3 17:04 Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 15:08 Shot missed by Brett Kulak
P3 15:00 Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P3 14:44 Shot missed by Jack St. Ivany
P3 14:39 Shot missed by Noel Acciari
P3 14:33 Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 14:17 Shot missed by Noel Acciari
P3 12:47 Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of Shootout period.
End of Shootout period.
Shootout attempt by Nick Suzuki saved by Arturs Silovs
Shootout Goal scored by Rickard Rakell on Jakub Dobes
Shootout attempt by Cole Caufield saved by Arturs Silovs
Shootout Goal scored by Cole Caufield on Arturs Silovs
Shootout attempt by Sidney Crosby saved by Jakub Dobes
Shootout attempt by Alexandre Texier saved by Arturs Silovs
Shootout Goal scored by Kevin Hayes on Jakub Dobes
End of 1st OT.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
SHOT
Shot on goal by Canadiens saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Jakub Dobes
Kris Letang credited with hit on Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Bryan Rust
Bryan Rust credited with hit on Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mike Matheson
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Cole Caufield in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Alexandre Texier shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Anthony Mantha
Anthony Mantha credited with hit on Alexandre Carrier in neutral zone
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Josh Anderson credited with hit on Bryan Rust in defensive zone
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Alexandre Carrier in neutral zone
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Arturs Silovs
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Bryan Rust in defensive zone
Sidney Crosby credited with hit on Cole Caufield in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brett Kulak
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack St. Ivany
SHOT
Shot missed by Noel Acciari
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
SHOT
Shot missed by Noel Acciari
Juraj Slafkovský credited with hit on Ryan Shea in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
SHOT
Power play - Rickard Rakell shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
SHOT
Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate
Shorthanded - Mike Matheson credited with hit on Erik Karlsson in defensive zone
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Owen Beck 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Justin Brazeau)
Giveaway by Owen Beck in defensive zone
Samuel Blais credited with hit on Justin Brazeau in neutral zone
Anthony Mantha credited with hit on Alexandre Carrier in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
Canadiens won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Texier
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Arturs Silovs
Canadiens won faceoff against Penguins in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Canadiens saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot missed by Ville Koivunen
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
Canadiens won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joseph Veleno saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
SHOT
Power play - Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
Shorthanded - Parker Wotherspoon credited with hit on Cole Caufield in defensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Penguins in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Thomas Novak 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Owen Beck)
Owen Beck won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
SHOT
Shot missed by Ville Koivunen
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Joseph Veleno shot blocked by Jack St. Ivany
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Jakub Dobes
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Noah Dobson assisted by Samuel Blais and Mike Matheson
3-3
Connor Dewar credited with hit on Cole Caufield in offensive zone
SHOT
Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Lane Hutson
Canadiens won faceoff against Penguins in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Texier
Ville Koivunen credited with hit on Arber Xhekaj in offensive zone
Canadiens won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
Arber Xhekaj credited with hit on Rutger McGroarty in defensive zone
Anthony Mantha credited with hit on Arber Xhekaj in neutral zone
Ivan Demidov credited with hit on Thomas Novak in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Canadiens won faceoff against Penguins in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Arturs Silovs
Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Erik Karlsson in offensive zone
Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rutger McGroarty saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Kindel
Justin Brazeau credited with hit on Arber Xhekaj in offensive zone
Jack St. Ivany credited with hit on Cole Caufield in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Dobson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Arturs Silovs
Giveaway by Alexandre Texier in offensive zone
Connor Dewar credited with hit on Alexandre Texier in defensive zone
SHOT
Alexandre Carrier shot blocked by Brett Kulak
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Jakub Dobes
Giveaway by Lane Hutson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rutger McGroarty saved by Jakub Dobes
Giveaway by Alexandre Carrier in offensive zone
Juraj Slafkovský won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Jakub Dobes
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Stoppage - Official Injury
Penalty to Ryan Shea 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Samuel Blais 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Kindel
SHOT
Ville Koivunen shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Rutger McGroarty shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack St. Ivany saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
SHOT
Shot missed by Brett Kulak
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Jakub Dobes
Giveaway by Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Jakub Dobes
Giveaway by Alexandre Carrier in offensive zone
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Noel Acciari assisted by Kris Letang and Arturs Silovs
2-3
Takeaway by Alexandre Carrier in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Noel Acciari
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Lane Hutson
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ville Koivunen saved by Jakub Dobes
Sidney Crosby credited with hit on Noah Dobson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Arturs Silovs
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Arturs Silovs
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
Takeaway by Adam Engstrom in defensive zone
Giveaway by Rutger McGroarty in defensive zone
Noah Dobson credited with hit on Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
SHOT
Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Noah Dobson
Giveaway by Mike Matheson in offensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot missed by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
SHOT
Shot on goal by Samuel Blais saved by Arturs Silovs
Giveaway by Noel Acciari in neutral zone
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Owen Beck in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Ivan Demidov
2-2
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Bryan Rust shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Alexandre Carrier shot blocked by Ben Kindel
SHOT
Joseph Veleno shot blocked by Brett Kulak
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Noah Dobson
Giveaway by Noah Dobson in defensive zone
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by teammate
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Arturs Silovs
Connor Dewar credited with hit on Samuel Blais in neutral zone
Samuel Blais credited with hit on Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Giveaway by Erik Karlsson in defensive zone
Owen Beck credited with hit on Erik Karlsson in offensive zone
Owen Beck won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Rickard Rakell credited with hit on Noah Dobson in offensive zone
SHOT
Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
Giveaway by Erik Karlsson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Samuel Blais
Owen Beck won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Owen Beck won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Noah Dobson in defensive zone
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Alexandre Texier in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Sidney Crosby
Giveaway by Juraj Slafkovský in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack St. Ivany saved by Jakub Dobes
Owen Beck won faceoff against Rutger McGroarty in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Adam Engstrom 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Rutger McGroarty)
Giveaway by Joseph Veleno in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Cole Caufield shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Cole Caufield shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Connor Dewar won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Kris Letang 2 minutes for Tripping
Jack St. Ivany credited with hit on Samuel Blais in offensive zone
Owen Beck credited with hit on Thomas Novak in defensive zone
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Owen Beck in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Sidney Crosby assisted by Erik Karlsson
1-1
SHOT
Sidney Crosby shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Jakub Dobes
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Oliver Kapanen assisted by Juraj Slafkovský and Ivan Demidov
1-0
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Jakub Dobes
Shorthanded - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Penalty to Noah Dobson 2 minutes for Misconduct
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Arturs Silovs
Rutger McGroarty won faceoff against Owen Beck in offensive zone
Stoppage - Net Dislodged by Goaltender
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rutger McGroarty saved by Jakub Dobes
Samuel Blais credited with hit on Ville Koivunen in defensive zone
Giveaway by Mike Matheson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Jakub Dobes
Takeaway by Connor Dewar in offensive zone
SHOT
Adam Engstrom shot blocked by Kevin Hayes
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Arber Xhekaj saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Arturs Silovs
Giveaway by Kris Letang in defensive zone
Takeaway by Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
Rickard Rakell credited with hit on Alexandre Carrier in defensive zone
SHOT
Josh Anderson shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Joseph Veleno
Kris Letang credited with hit on Josh Anderson in defensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 25 | Shots on Goal | 31 | |||
| 48% | Faceoff Win % | 52% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 25 | Hits | 30 | |||
| 18 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 19 | Giveaways | 16 |
| |
|---|
| 25 | Shots on Goal | 31 | |||
| 48% | Faceoff Win % | 52% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 25 | Hits | 30 | |||
| 18 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 19 | Giveaways | 16 |
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Canadiens vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Canadiens vs. Penguins
- Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Penguins favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Canadiens -105, Penguins -110
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Canadiens: 49%
- Penguins: 51%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 49%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Canadiens vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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