Kraken vs. Red Wings prediction favors Detroit to win Friday's NHL matchup [10/9/2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 56.0% win probability for the Red Wings at Little Caesars Arena.

The Detroit Red Wings will take on the Seattle Kraken in NHL action at Little Caesars Arena on Friday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Red Wings as the most likely winner in this Kraken vs. Red Wings prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Kraken vs. Red Wings prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model gives the Red Wings a 56.0% chance of beating the Kraken. According to our model, the Kraken (+1.5) have a 66.1% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 57.1% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Puck Line: Kraken +1.5 (-200) / Red Wings -1.5 (+175)
- Moneyline: Kraken +123, Red Wings -139
- Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+115/-130)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Puck line: Kraken +1.5 @ -200 via BetMGM
- Moneyline: Kraken @ +123 via bet365
- Total: Under 6.5 @ -130 via DraftKings
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Kraken vs. Red Wings player props
Who will score a goal in Kraken vs. Red Wings?
According to our model, Alex DeBrincat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Kraken vs. Red Wings.
Our projections give DeBrincat a 46.4% chance of scoring a goal at Little Caesars Arena, while the star is a 10.7% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Seattle Kraken
- Bobby McMann: 32.2% probability
- Jared McCann: 27.3% probability
- Jordan Eberle: 24.7% probability
- Shane Wright: 18.0% probability
- Matty Beniers: 17.4% probability
Detroit Red Wings
- Alex DeBrincat: 46.4% probability
- Viktor Arvidsson: 39.3% probability
- Dylan Larkin: 35.1% probability
- Lucas Raymond: 33.5% probability
- Emmitt Finnie: 18.1% probability
First goal scorer predictions
Seattle Kraken
- Bobby McMann: 6.3% probability
- Jared McCann: 4.9% probability
- Jordan Eberle: 4.9% probability
- Matty Beniers: 3.5% probability
- Kaapo Kakko: 3.0% probability
Detroit Red Wings
- Alex DeBrincat: 10.7% probability
- Viktor Arvidsson: 8.4% probability
- Dylan Larkin: 7.1% probability
- Lucas Raymond: 6.7% probability
- Andrew Copp: 3.3% probability
Game info & puck drop details
Friday's action between the Red Wings and Kraken at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Kraken vs. Detroit Red Wings
- Date: Friday, October 9, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Red Wings, with a 56.0% win probability, will likely beat the Kraken in Friday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



