NFL Prop Bets Today: Week 11, 2023Last updated: | Published:
NFL prop bets are back for another huge week, with our best NFL player props here to assist you through today's games. After simulating every NFL game on Sunday's Week 11 slate thousands of times, we've methodically determined the top 10 NFL player props today for forthe Week 11 slate.
With lots of football action to digest and research today, we have your back. Our NFL player props are here to make your Sunday a whole lot easier, with our carefully curated NFL prop bets laid out below in order of the largest edge.
Our team used a powerful predictive analytics model to find these NFL prop plays, so you can be sure that our featured bets represent the best NFL props bets to make on Sunday, November 19, 2023.
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Free NFL Prop Picks - Week 11
With an intriguing slate of Week 11 games being played across the league on Sunday, finding the best spots for NFL prop bets can be tricky.
That's where Dimers.com – and our renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT – steps in.
We have done the necessary research for you, scanning all of the lines and odds from the biggest sportsbooks in the United States, to make betting on NFL player props as easy as possible in Week 11.
There is no shortage of betting choices in the player prop market for Week 11, with players such as Josh Allen, Kyler Murray and Jahmyr Gibbs presenting value according to DimersBOT.
Best Prop Bets for NFL Week 11
We have gone over the lines and picked out our favorite player prop bets you should consider for Week 11, based on edges we have detected in the market.
Let's dive in on our top player prop picks for the Week 11 action below.
Josh Allen Under 29.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Our model has determined the best NFL prop bet for Week 11, focusing on the game between the Jets and Bills, with Josh Allen the player we are targetting. We recommend placing a bet on Josh Allen Under 29.5 Rushing Yards for Buffalo this week.
DimersBOT projects that Allen has an 82.6% chance of going under 29.5 rush yds in Week 11, which give us a nice 29.3% edge on the -114 odds currently available from FanDuel Sportsbook.
MORE: NFL Prop Bets Today
Kyler Murray Under 6.5 Rushing Attempts (-136)
- Odds: -136 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- Probability: 86.7%
- Edge: 29.1%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Texans (1:00PM ET)
Our model has discovered another +EV prop bet for NFL Week 11, with Kyler Murray in our sights in the Cardinals - Texans game. We recommend placing a bet on Kyler Murray Under 6.5 Rushing Attempts, with an edge of 29.1% available on the -136 odds available with FanDuel Sportsbook.
Jahmyr Gibbs Over 43.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
According to our model, the next best player prop bet for NFL Week 11 features Jahmyr Gibbs in the Bears vs. Lions clash. The recommended play here is on Jahmyr Gibbs Over 43.5 Rushing Yards, with DimersBOT detecting an edge of 28.1% on the -114 odds available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Zach Wilson Under 14.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
The next NFL player prop we recommend playing in Week 11 comes in the Jets vs. Bills game, with Zach Wilson presenting value in the rushing yards prop market. We recommend placing a bet on Zach Wilson Under 14.5 Rushing Yards for NY Jets this week.
DimersBOT projects that Wilson has an 79.6% chance of going under 14.5 rush yds in Week 11, which give us a tasty 27.2% edge on the -110 odds currently available with FanDuel Sportsbook.
Kareem Hunt Over 30.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
- Odds: -114 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- Probability: 80.3%
- Edge: 27.0%
- Game: Steelers vs. Browns (1:00PM ET)
According to our model, the next best player prop bet for NFL Sunday features Kareem Hunt in the Steelers vs. Browns showdown. The recommended play here is on Kareem Hunt Over 30.5 Rushing Yards, with DimersBOT detecting an edge of 27.0% on the -114 odds available with FanDuel Sportsbook.
Justin Fields Over 8.5 Rushing Attempts (-120)
- Odds: -120 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- Probability: 81.1%
- Edge: 26.6%
- Game: Bears vs. Lions (1:00PM ET)
The next player our model is targeting in NFL Week 11 is Justin Fields in the Bears vs. Lions clash. The recommended play here is on Justin Fields Over 8.5 Rushing Attempts, with DimersBOT finding a favorable edge of 26.6% on the -120 odds available on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Breece Hall Under 24.5 Receiving Yards (+105)
- Odds: +105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- Probability: 74.9%
- Edge: 26.1%
- Game: Jets vs. Bills (4:25PM ET)
Our model has discovered another +EV prop bet for NFL Week 11, with Breece Hall in our sights in the Jets - Bills game. We recommend placing a bet on Breece Hall Under 24.5 Receiving Yards, with an edge of 26.1% on offer on the +105 odds available on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Austin Ekeler Over 3.5 Receptions (-178)
- Odds: -178 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- Probability: 90.1%
- Edge: 26.0%
- Game: Chargers vs. Packers (1:00PM ET)
The next NFL player prop we recommend playing in Week 11 comes in the Chargers vs. Packers game, with Austin Ekeler presenting value in the receptions prop market. We recommend placing a bet on Austin Ekeler Over 3.5 Receptions this week.
DimersBOT projects that Austin Ekeler has a 78.0% chance of going under 16.5 rec yds in Week 11, which give us a tasty 24.5% edge on the -115 odds currently available from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Chris Moore Under 16.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
- Odds: -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- Probability: 78.0%
- Edge: 24.5%
- Game: Titans vs. Jaguars (1:00PM ET)
According to our model, the next best player prop bet for NFL Week 11 features Chris Moore in the Titans vs. Jaguars clash. The recommended play here is on Chris Moore Under 16.5 Receiving Yards, with DimersBOT detecting an edge of 24.5% on the -115 odds available with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Jordan Love Under 229.5 Passing Yards (+110)
- Odds: +110 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- Probability: 71.7%
- Edge: 24.1%
- Game: Chargers vs. Packers (1:00PM ET)
With an edge of 24.1% detected by our model, the 10th prop of the day sees us taking Jordan Love Under 229.5 Passing Yards. According to our model, this Jordan Love prop has a 71.7% chance of hitting in the Chargers vs. Packers clash today. For the best odds for this play, head to DraftKings Sportsbook, where there is +110 avaialable for you to take.
NFL Prop Picks - Week 11, 2023
|Jets vs. Bills||Josh Allen Under 29.5 Rushing Yards||-114 @ FanDuel Sportsbook||29.3%|
|Cardinals vs. Texans||Kyler Murray Under 6.5 Rushing Attempts||-136 @ FanDuel Sportsbook||29.1%|
|Bears vs. Lions||Jahmyr Gibbs Over 43.5 Rushing Yards||-114 @ FanDuel Sportsbook||28.1%|
|Jets vs. Bills||Zach Wilson Under 14.5 Rushing Yards||-110 @ FanDuel Sportsbook||27.2%|
|Steelers vs. Browns||Kareem Hunt Over 30.5 Rushing Yards||-114 @ FanDuel Sportsbook||27.0%|
|Bears vs. Lions||Justin Fields Over 8.5 Rushing Attempts||-120 @ DraftKings Sportsbook||26.6%|
|Jets vs. Bills||Breece Hall Under 24.5 Receiving Yards||+105 @ DraftKings Sportsbook||26.1%|
|Chargers vs. Packers||Austin Ekeler Over 3.5 Receptions||-178 @ FanDuel Sportsbook||26.0%|
|Titans vs. Jaguars||Chris Moore Under 16.5 Receiving Yards||-115 @ DraftKings Sportsbook||24.5%|
|Chargers vs. Packers||Jordan Love Under 229.5 Passing Yards||+110 @ DraftKings Sportsbook||24.1%|
MORE: NFL Week 11 Predictions
More NFL Week 11 Picks
So, you liked our NFL best props for Week 11? Awesome. Did you know our NFL news section has a detailed betting preview for every NFL Week 11 matchup?
That's right, we use our predictive analytics model to compare all of the available odds (aka Vegas odds) against its probabilities to find edges in every single NFL game, not just the ones featured above. This allows us to create the most reliable NFL betting previews and get the jump on the public and the sportsbooks.
In addition to our NFL player prop predictions, we also provide the NFL best bets, projecting the spread, moneyline, over/under and more against the top odds available.
Finally, Dimers' NFL futures page is our in-house approach to revealing who will win the Super Bowl - as well as each NFL Division and Conference - with our data-led probabilities compared to the best NFL odds on the market.
What Is the Best NFL Prop Picks Website?
Dimers is a top-notch website for NFL player prop picks, offering expert analysis and data-driven NFL prop predictions every week of the season. If you're a football bettor looking for trustworthy, accurate information to help you make informed wagering decisions when it comes to Week 11 NFL props, Dimers.com should be your go-to resource.
The site features a team of experienced sports analysts and NFL experts who specialize in evaluating the latest matchups and trends across the country. They use advanced predictive models and cutting-edge data analysis systems to generate highly accurate NFL player projections, which we share with our readers through both written analysis and our famous Best Props page.
In addition to our expert analysis and prop betting picks, Dimers.com also offers a wealth of educational resources to help NFL bettors improve their skills and knowledge. From beginner's guides to advanced betting strategies, the site is an invaluable tool for anyone looking to gain an edge in the highly competitive world of sports betting.
Overall, if you're looking for a reliable and accurate resource for weekly NFL prop betting picks, Dimers.com is the perfect choice.
Make Informed NFL Prop Betting Decisions - Week 11, 2023
At Dimers.com, we take the responsibility of providing NFL prop betting picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.
While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice for prop bettors, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our NFL prop picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.