NFL Player Props To Bet: Sunday December 4, 2022

NFL Player Props To Bet: Sunday December 4, 2022

We've dived deep into our predictive analytics model, otherwise known as DimersBOT, to identify the best odds and betting opportunities, plus the best NFL player props for Sunday December 4, 2022. Using the world renowned Monte Carlo method, we have simulated every major pro and college sport over 10,000 times to produce NFL predictions that paint the clearest picture of what is likely to occur in any given game in Week 13, and which players will contribute to those predictions either hitting or missing. We then use these suggested prop bets and match them against the sportsbooks' odds to identify where we have a betting edge, and where we believe the odds makers have got it wrong in their assessment of a NFL matchup.

Taking the First Touchdown, Anytime Touchdown, Receiving Yards, Passing Yards, Rushing Yards, Completions, Passing Attempts and Receptions player prop markets, and then matching them against the results of our simulations, gives us a massive opportunity to identify the 10 best player prop bets for Sunday, with the biggest edges, to throw our cash down on today.

For NFL prop bets from EVERY game being played today, check out our NFL Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.

 

NFL Player Props Sunday

Packers vs. Bears

BET: Justin Fields Over 65.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

This is today's Best Bet. DimersBOT has Fields as a 83.4% chance of going Over the 65.5 rushing yards line set by the sportsbook for the Bears' clash with the Packers today. With odds of -115 available, betting his Over 65.5 rushing yards gives us a huge edge of 29.9%. We need to place this bet at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet. Claim it here.

David Montgomery Over 2.5 Receptions (+115)

We've marked Montgomery down as having a 73.9% chance of hitting this receptions line today against the Packers, so with odds of +115 available we should bet this with DraftKings Sportsbook where we have a 27.4% edge. You can register a DraftKings account here and score a $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet.

Browns vs. Texans

BET: Kareem Hunt Over 1.5 Receptions (+100)

The super computer has Hunt falling going over his receptions number today against the Texans. At odds of +100, we're betting him to go Over 1.5 catches at a 77.3% probability, with an edge of 27.2%. To get max bang for our buck we need to place this bet at Caesars Sportsbook and is a bet we can place with confidence. New Caesars customers can secure a risk-free bet of us to $1250! Claim yours here.

Steelers vs. Falcons

BET: Cordarrelle Patterson Over 8.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Our predictive analytics model has Patterson down as a 78.7% chance of going Over 8.5 receiving yards today against the Steelers, so with huge odds of -110 available we have a 26.3% edge over at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Jaguars vs. Lions

BET: Marvin Jones Over 30.5 Receiving Yards (-117)

We predict Jones is a 79.8% chance of going over the 30.5 receiving yards line set by the sportsbooks today. Betting the Over presents a massive edge of 25.9%, so to ensure we get full bang for our buck here, we need to place this bet at BetMGM Sportsbook, where new users get a $1000 risk-free bet. Claim it here.

Remember, if your game is not here, check out our NFL Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays from EVERY game.

Titans vs. Eagles

BET: Jalen Hurts Under 10.5 Rushing Attempts (-139)

DimersBOT has Hurts listed as an 83.8% chance of staying Under this line today. So, while his odds aren't great they still represent a tasty edge of 25.6%. We need to place this bet at BetMGM Sportsbook, where new users get a $1000 risk-free bet. Claim it here.

Jalen Hurts Under 49.5 Rushing Yards (-105)

Our predictive analytics model has determined that the 49.5 rushing yards line set for Hurts is way too high also and that he is a 75.3% chance of falling short of this mark against Titans today. Although we're only getting odds of -105 over at FanDuel Sportsbook, the Under still represents a big edge of 24.1% and is another bet we can place with confidence.

BET: Miles Sanders Over 60.5 Rushing Yards (+108)

DimersBOT has Sanders as an 73.0% chance of exceeding his rushing yards line against the Titans today and with odds of +108 available, betting his Over 60.5 gives us a nice edge of 24.9%. To get full bang for our buck, we need to place this bet at BetMGM Sportsbook, where new users get a $1000 risk-free bet. Claim it here.

Colts vs. Cowboys

BET: Tony Pollard Over 14.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

We've marked Pollard down as having a 78.7% chance of hitting this receiving yards line today against the Colts, so with odds of -113 available we should bet this with DraftKings Sportsbook where we have a 25.6% edge. You can register a DraftKings account here and score a $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet.

Commanders vs. Giants

BET: Taylor Heinicke Over 10.5 Rushing Yards (-120)

DimersBOT has the Commanders QB as an 79.5% chance of blasting past this rushing yards line against the Giants today. And with odds of -120 available, betting his Over 10.5 gives us a nice edge of 24.9%. To get full bang for our buck, we need to place this bet at BetMGM Sportsbook, where new users get a $1000 risk-free bet. Claim it here.

Remember, if your game is not here, check out our NFL Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays from EVERY game.

 
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience as a sports and betting expert, serves as the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, where he steers the editorial and digital content strategy for leading platforms like Dimers.com, Stats Insider and Gambling Today. Specializing in soccer, Nick brings a global perspective to his coverage of the sport, including detailed analyses of MLS games. He also contributes to NHL content through game previews, best bets, and props, and lends his expertise to crafting NBA first basket betting content. 

With a robust background as a journalist and broadcaster, Nick has been a trusted voice on major networks and channels such as Fox Sports, WCBV-TV Boston, ESPN, ABC, and others. His profound understanding of sports and betting dynamics has made him a sought-after authority in the wagering and gambling industries.

On the socials
Loading...
More from Dimers
About Dimers
icon 22,000+
Events covered per year
icon 4,500,000+
Users
Our partners
FanDuelDraftKingsBetMGMbet365