NFL player props today: Week 12's best props include AJ Dillon [11/23/2025]

Dimers' NFL props are live for Sunday, November 23, 2025, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of AJ Dillon, Austin Hooper and Tylan Wallace.

Our NFL player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Jaguars vs. Cardinals and Jets vs. Ravens, to surface the best NFL player prop bets across the market.

List of NFL prop picks for Week 12

Sourced from 155+ total props today, below are the top ten NFL player props for November 23, ranked by edge.

AJ Dillon under 12.5 rushing yards (-107)

• Edge: 44.6%
• Probability: 96.3%
• Projection: 0.6
• Game: Eagles vs. Cowboys (4:25PM ET)

Our model has found value on Philadelphia's AJ Dillon under 12.5 rushing yards. A probability of 96.3% gives this play an edge of 44.6% at -107 odds.

Austin Hooper under 1.5 receptions (-104)

• Edge: 26.6%
• Probability: 77.6%
• Projection: 0.9
• Game: Patriots vs. Bengals (1:00PM ET)

Austin Hooper’s receptions prop shows a 26.6% edge at -104 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 0.9 receptions on the under 1.5 line.

Tylan Wallace over 0.5 receptions (-110)

• Edge: 15.4%
• Probability: 67.8%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Jets vs. Ravens (1:00PM ET)

Our model shows value on Tylan Wallace over 0.5 receptions, supported by a 15.4% edge at -110 odds.

Mason Rudolph under 2.5 rushing attempts (+130)

• Edge: 14.1%
• Probability: 57.5%
• Game: Steelers vs. Bears (1:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Mason Rudolph under 2.5 rushing attempts, with a 57.5% probability and an edge of 14.1% at +130 odds.

Malik Davis under 2.5 rushing attempts (+100)

• Edge: 13.9%
• Probability: 63.9%
• Game: Eagles vs. Cowboys (4:25PM ET)

Our model shows value on Malik Davis under 2.5 rushing attempts for Dallas, showing an edge of 13.9% edge at +100 odds.

Joe Flacco over 0.5 rushing yards (+115)

• Edge: 13.3%
• Probability: 59.8%
• Projection: 5.1
• Game: Patriots vs. Bengals (1:00PM ET)

Joe Flacco’s rushing yards prop shows an edge of 13.3% edge at +115 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 5.1 today.

Rashee Rice under 1.5 rushing yards (-110)

• Edge: 12.1%
• Probability: 64.5%
• Projection: 2.6
• Game: Colts vs. Chiefs (1:00PM ET)

Our model projects Rashee Rice for 2.6 rushing yards for Kansas City, creating an edge of 12.1% on under 1.5 at -110 odds.

JuJu Smith-Schuster over 0.5 receptions (-225)

• Edge: 11.5%
• Probability: 80.7%
• Projection: 1.6
• Game: Colts vs. Chiefs (1:00PM ET)

Our model projects JuJu Smith-Schuster for 1.6 receptions, creating value on the over 0.5 line at -225 odds and a 11.5% edge.

Trey McBride under 0.5 receptions (-102)

• Edge: 11.5%
• Probability: 61.9%
• Projection: 6.9
• Game: Jaguars vs. Cardinals (4:05PM ET)

An 11.5% edge on the under 0.5 receptions line makes Trey McBride a value play in Jaguars vs. Cardinals, with our model projecting him for 6.9 receptions at -102 odds.

Bhayshul Tuten under 11.5 rushing attempts (-140)

• Edge: 11.0%
• Probability: 69.3%
• Game: Jaguars vs. Cardinals (4:05PM ET)

Our model shows value on Bhayshul Tuten under 11.5 rushing attempts here, with a 69.3% probability and 11.0% edge at -130 odds.

NFL player prop summary: Week 12, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 12:46PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Eagles vs. Cowboys	AJ Dillon under 12.5 rushing yards	-107 @ DraftKings	44.6%	96.3%
Patriots vs. Bengals	Austin Hooper under 1.5 receptions	-104 @ DraftKings	26.6%	77.6%
Jets vs. Ravens	Tylan Wallace over 0.5 receptions	-110 @ BetMGM	14.1%	57.5%
Steelers vs. Bears	Mason Rudolph under 2.5 rushing attempts	+130 @ BetMGM	14.1%	57.5%
Eagles vs. Cowboys	Malik Davis under 2.5 rushing attempts	+100 @ BetMGM	13.9%	63.9%
Patriots vs. Bengals	Joe Flacco over 0.5 rushing yards	+115 @ BetMGM	13.3%	59.8%
Colts vs. Chiefs	Rashee Rice under 1.5 rushing yards	-110 @ BetMGM	12.1%	64.5%
Colts vs. Chiefs	JuJu Smith-Schuster over 0.5 receptions	-225 @ BetMGM	11.5%	80.7%
Jaguars vs. Cardinals	Trey McBride under 0.5 receptions	-102 @ FanDuel	11.5%	61.9%
Jaguars vs. Cardinals	Bhayshul Tuten under 11.5 rushing attempts	-140 @ BetMGM	11.0%	69.3%

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Conclusion

For November 23, 2025, our NFL prop bets feature players such as AJ Dillon, Austin Hooper and Tylan Wallace. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. Dimers promotes responsible gambling.