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NFL player props today: Week 11's best props include Quintin Morris [11/16/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get NFL player props today with projections for Sunday's Week 11 games.

NFL Prop Bets.
NFL prop bets for Week 11 are based on the latest odds and projections for Sunday's football games.

Dimers' NFL props are live for Sunday, November 16, 2025, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Quintin Morris, Tanner Hudson and Emari Demercado.

Our NFL player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including 49ers vs. Cardinals and Panthers vs. Falcons, to surface the best NFL player prop bets across the market.

List of NFL prop bets for Week 11

Sourced from 195+ total props today, below are the top ten NFL player props for November 16, ranked by edge.

Quintin Morris under 0.5 receptions (+160)

Our model has flagged value on Jacksonville's Quintin Morris under 0.5 receptions. A probability of 69.1% gives this play an edge of 30.6% at +160 odds.

 

Tanner Hudson under 1.5 receptions (-105)

Tanner Hudson’s receptions prop shows a 26.7% edge at -105 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 0.9 receptions on the under 1.5 line.

 

Emari Demercado over 22.5 rushing yards (-110)

Our model shows value on Emari Demercado over 22.5 rushing yards, supported by a 23.8% edge at -110 odds.

 

Matthew Golden under 0.5 rushing yards (-110)

Our model projects Matthew Golden to record 0.7 rushing yards today, creating an edge of 22.9% on the under 0.5 line at -110 odds.

 

Will Shipley under 5.5 rushing yards (-105)

  • Edge: 22.3%
  • Probability: 73.5%
  • Projection: 3.8
  • Game: Lions vs. Eagles (8:20PM ET)

Our model shows value on Will Shipley under 5.5 rushing yards for Philadelphia, showing an edge of 22.3% edge at -105 odds.

 

Kenneth Gainwell over 11.5 rushing yards (-114)

Kenneth Gainwell’s rushing yards prop shows an edge of 22.1% edge at -114 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 25.9 today.

 

Kenneth Gainwell over 3.5 rushing attempts (-135)

Our model highlights value on Kenneth Gainwell over 3.5 rushing attempts for Pittsburgh, with a 79.5% probability and a 22.0% edge at -135 odds.

 

Devin Singletary over 7.5 rushing attempts (+100)

Our model shows value on Devin Singletary over 7.5 rushing attempts, supported by a 71.9% probability at +100 odds and an edge of 21.9%.

 

Pat Bryant under 7.5 receptions (-135)

A 21.7% edge on the under 7.5 receptions line makes Pat Bryant a value play in Chiefs vs. Broncos, with our model projecting him for 0.8 receptions at -135 odds.

 

Isaac TeSlaa under 9.5 receiving yards (-112)

  • Edge: 20.6%
  • Probability: 73.4%
  • Projection: 5.6
  • Game: Lions vs. Eagles (8:20PM ET)

Our model projects Isaac TeSlaa for 5.6 receiving yards here, creating a 20.6% edge on the under 9.5 line at -130 odds.

 

NFL player prop summary: Week 11, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 12:57PM ET:

Matchup Prop Odds Edge Probability
Chargers vs. Jaguars Quintin Morris under 0.5 receptions +160 @ BetMGM 30.6% 69.1%
Bengals vs. Steelers Tanner Hudson under 1.5 receptions -105 @ BetMGM 26.7% 78.0%
49ers vs. Cardinals Emari Demercado over 22.5 rushing yards -110 @ BetMGM 22.9% 75.3%
Packers vs. Giants Matthew Golden under 0.5 rushing yards -110 @ BetMGM 22.9% 75.3%
Lions vs. Eagles Will Shipley under 5.5 rushing yards -105 @ BetMGM 22.3% 73.5%
Bengals vs. Steelers Kenneth Gainwell over 11.5 rushing yards -114 @ FanDuel 22.1% 75.4%
Bengals vs. Steelers Kenneth Gainwell over 3.5 rushing attempts -135 @ BetMGM 22.0% 79.5%
Packers vs. Giants Devin Singletary over 7.5 rushing attempts +100 @ BetMGM 21.9% 71.9%
Chiefs vs. Broncos Pat Bryant under 7.5 receptions -135 @ BetMGM 21.7% 79.2%
Lions vs. Eagles Isaac TeSlaa under 9.5 receiving yards -112 @ DraftKings 20.6% 73.4%

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Conclusion

For November 16, 2025, our NFL prop bets feature players such as Quintin Morris, Tanner Hudson and Emari Demercado. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. Dimers promotes responsible gambling.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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