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NFL player props today: Wild Card Sunday's best props include Konata Mumpfield [1/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NFL player props today with projections for Sunday's Week 20 games.
Dimers' NFL props are live for January 18, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Konata Mumpfield, Tutu Atwell and Nick Chubb.
Our NFL player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Rams vs. Bears and Texans vs. Patriots, to surface the best NFL player prop bets across the market.
List of NFL prop bets for Divisional Round
Sourced from 30+ total props today, below are the top ten NFL player props for January 18, ranked by edge.
Konata Mumpfield over 0.5 receptions (+195)
- Edge: 22.5%
- Probability: 56.4%
- Projection: 0.8
- Game: Rams vs. Bears (6:30PM ET)
Our model has found value on LA Rams' Konata Mumpfield over 0.5 receptions. A probability of 56.4% gives this play an edge of 22.5% at +195 odds.
Tutu Atwell over 0.5 receptions (+200)
- Edge: 16.3%
- Probability: 49.6%
- Projection: 0.7
- Game: Rams vs. Bears (6:30PM ET)
Tutu Atwell’s receptions prop shows a 16.3% edge at +200 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 0.7 receptions on the over 0.5 line.
Nick Chubb under 3.5 rushing attempts (+120)
- Edge: 16.1%
- Probability: 61.5%
- Game: Texans vs. Patriots (3:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Nick Chubb under 3.5 rushing attempts, with simulations showing a 61.5% probability and a 16.1% edge at +120.
Olamide Zaccheaus over 0.5 receptions (+110)
- Edge: 14.2%
- Probability: 61.9%
- Projection: 1.0
- Game: Rams vs. Bears (6:30PM ET)
Our model projects Olamide Zaccheaus to record 1.0 receptions today, creating an edge of 14.2% on the over 0.5 line at +110 odds.
Xavier Smith over 0.5 receptions (-105)
- Edge: 12.7%
- Probability: 63.9%
- Projection: 1.0
- Game: Rams vs. Bears (6:30PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Xavier Smith over 0.5 receptions for LA Rams, showing an edge of 12.7% at -105 odds.
Colston Loveland under 5.5 receptions (-146)
- Edge: 11.0%
- Probability: 70.4%
- Projection: 4.5
- Game: Rams vs. Bears (6:30PM ET)
Colston Loveland’s receptions prop shows an edge of 11.0% at -146 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 4.5 today.
Blake Corum over 0.5 receiving yards (+135)
- Edge: 10.2%
- Probability: 52.8%
- Projection: 4.3
- Game: Rams vs. Bears (6:30PM ET)
Our model projects Blake Corum for 4.3 receiving yards for LA Rams, creating an edge of 10.2% on over 0.5 at +135 odds.
Drake Maye under 38.5 rushing yards (-112)
- Edge: 9.8%
- Probability: 62.7%
- Projection: 35.5
- Game: Texans vs. Patriots (3:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Drake Maye for 35.5 rushing yards, creating value on the under 38.5 line at -112 odds and a 9.8% edge.
Jaylin Noel over 1.5 receptions (+179)
- Edge: 9.3%
- Probability: 45.1%
- Projection: 1.5
- Game: Texans vs. Patriots (3:00PM ET)
A 9.3% edge on the over 38.5 receptions line makes Jaylin Noel a value play in Texans vs. Patriots, with our model projecting him for 1.5 receptions at +179 odds.
Blake Corum over 0.5 receptions (+115)
- Edge: 8.0%
- Probability: 54.5%
- Projection: 0.8
- Game: Rams vs. Bears (6:30PM ET)
Simulations project Blake Corum for 0.8 receptions here, creating a 8.0% edge on the over 0.5 line at +115 odds.
NFL player prop summary: Divisional Round, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 11:36AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams vs. Bears | Konata Mumpfield over 0.5 receptions | +195 @ BetMGM | 22.5% | 56.4% |
| Rams vs. Bears | Tutu Atwell over 0.5 receptions | +200 @ BetMGM | 16.3% | 49.6% |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Nick Chubb under 3.5 rushing attempts | +120 @ BetMGM | 14.2% | 61.9% |
| Rams vs. Bears | Olamide Zaccheaus over 0.5 receptions | +110 @ BetMGM | 14.2% | 61.9% |
| Rams vs. Bears | Xavier Smith over 0.5 receptions | -105 @ BetMGM | 12.7% | 63.9% |
| Rams vs. Bears | Colston Loveland under 5.5 receptions | -146 @ DraftKings | 11.0% | 70.4% |
| Rams vs. Bears | Blake Corum over 0.5 receiving yards | +135 @ BetMGM | 10.2% | 52.8% |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Drake Maye under 38.5 rushing yards | -112 @ FanDuel | 9.8% | 62.7% |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Jaylin Noel over 38.5 receptions | +179 @ DraftKings | 9.3% | 45.1% |
| Rams vs. Bears | Blake Corum over 0.5 receptions | +115 @ BetMGM | 8.0% | 54.5% |
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Conclusion
For January 18, 2026, our NFL prop bets feature players such as Konata Mumpfield, Tutu Atwell and Nick Chubb. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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