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Mets vs. Yankees Prediction: Yankees Predicted to Win Saturday's MLB Matchup [5/17/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Saturday's New York Mets vs New York Yankees matchup.

New York Mets-New York Yankees Predictions and Game Preview.
Yankee Stadium sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the New York Mets and New York Yankees this Saturday.

MLB action continues on Saturday at 1:05PM ET as the New York Mets lock horns with the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium.

Clarke Schmidt (1-1, 4.72 ERA) will start on the mound for the Yankees, up against Griffin Canning (5-1, 2.36 ERA) for the Mets.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Yankees as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's NY Mets-NY Yankees game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Yankees are more likely to win, while the Mets have a lower chance of victory."

For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Mets vs. Yankees predictions page.

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Yankees vs. Mets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLB game between the Mets and Yankees 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Yankees a 55% chance of beating the Mets.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the 10-run over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 5:28PM, May 17
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Mets
Win %
45%
55%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Yankees
Mets NYM
Win %
45%
55%
See Matchup
Yankees NYY
Griffin Canning 5-1, 2.36 ERA
Clarke Schmidt 1-1, 4.73 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Mets vs. Yankees Odds [5/17/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mets Yankees
Run Line +1.5 (-162) -1.5 (+145)
Moneyline +118 -130
Total o10 (-112) u10 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Mets vs. Yankees Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Mets vs. Yankees matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Free MLB Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the predictions featured below.

Mets vs. Yankees Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's MLB game between the Yankees and Mets at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:05PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Mets vs. Yankees matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any NY Mets vs. NY Yankees picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

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Conclusion

We predict the Yankees, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Mets on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mets vs. Yankees insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay informed with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most up-to-date predictions for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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