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Mets vs. Yankees Prediction: Yankees Predicted to Win Friday's MLB Matchup [5/16/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Friday's New York Mets vs New York Yankees matchup.

New York Mets-New York Yankees Predictions and Game Preview.
Yankee Stadium sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the New York Mets and New York Yankees this Friday.

The New York Yankees will take on the New York Mets in MLB action at Yankee Stadium on Friday, beginning at 7:05PM ET.

The Yankees will start Carlos Rodón (4-3, 3.29 ERA), while the Mets have opted for Tylor Megill (3-3, 3.10 ERA).

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Yankees as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's NY Mets-NY Yankees game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Yankees' chance of winning is 56%, while the Mets' is 44%."

For a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Mets vs. Yankees predictions page.

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Yankees vs. Mets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Yankees 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Yankees a 56% chance of defeating the Mets.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:28PM, May 16
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Mets
Win %
38%
62%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Yankees
Mets NYM
Win %
38%
62%
See Matchup
Yankees NYY
Tylor Megill 3-3, 3.10 ERA
Carlos Rodón 4-3, 3.29 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Mets vs. Yankees Odds [5/16/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mets Yankees
Run Line +1.5 (-160) -1.5 (+145)
Moneyline +125 -146
Total o9 (-110) u9 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Mets vs. Yankees Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Mets vs. Yankees matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Mets vs. Yankees Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's MLB game between the Yankees and Mets at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:05PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Friday's Mets vs. Yankees matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any NY Mets vs. NY Yankees picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

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Conclusion

We predict the Yankees, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Mets on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mets vs. Yankees insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay informed with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds offer the most accurate projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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