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Mets vs. Angels prediction: Mets favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [5/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get New York Mets vs Los Angeles Angels predictions for MLB Sunday.
The Los Angeles Angels and New York Mets will lock horns in MLB action at Angel Stadium on Sunday, starting at 4:07 PM ET.
The Angels will start Jack Kochanowicz (2-0, 3.09 ERA), while the Mets are going with Clay Holmes (3-2, 1.75 ERA).
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of the Mets vs. Angels game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Angels prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB game between the Mets and Angels, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Mets a 57% chance of beating the Angels.
According to our model, the Angels (+1.5) have a 55% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of nine runs has a 52% chance of going over.
Mets vs. Angels odds [5/3/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Angels |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+125) | +1.5 (-143) |
| Moneyline | -130 | +114 |
| Total | o9 (-105) | u9 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Angels picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets -1.5 | +125 |
| Moneyline | Mets | -130 |
| Total | Over 9 | -105 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets -1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Angels game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB matchup between the Angels and Mets at Angel Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:07 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels
- Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026
- Time: 4:07 PM ET/1:07PM PT
- Venue: Angel Stadium
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Angels in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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