Jun 5, 2026
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Read Article Mets vs. Rockies prediction: Why Mets are favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [5/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies predictions for MLB Monday.
The Colorado Rockies will face the New York Mets in MLB action at Coors Field on Monday, starting at 5:40 PM ET.
The Rockies will start Tomoyuki Sugano (3-1, 2.84 ERA), while the Mets have opted for Huascar Brazobán (2-0, 1.15 ERA).
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of the Mets vs. Rockies game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Rockies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB game between the Mets and Rockies, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mets a 59% chance of defeating the Rockies.
According to our model, the Rockies (+1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the run line, while the 10.5-run over/under has a 55% chance of going over.
Mets vs. Rockies odds [5/4/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+134) | +1.5 (-135) |
| Moneyline | -120 | +118 |
| Total | o10.5 (-102) | u10.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Rockies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets -1.5 | +134 |
| Moneyline | Mets | -120 |
| Total | Over 10.5 | -102 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets -1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Rockies game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB matchup between the Rockies and Mets at Coors Field is scheduled to begin at 5:40 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies
- Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
- Time: 5:40 PM ET/2:40PM PT
- Venue: Coors Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Rockies in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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