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Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Mets Predicted to Win Wednesday's MLB Matchup [5/7/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Our expert prediction for Wednesday's New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks matchup.

New York Mets-Arizona Diamondbacks Predictions and Game Preview.
Chase Field sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the New York Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks this Wednesday.

The Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Mets are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Chase Field on Wednesday, starting at 3:40PM ET.

The Diamondbacks will have Merrill Kelly (3-1, 4.06 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Mets have opted for Kodai Senga (3-2, 1.38 ERA).

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NY Mets-Arizona game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Mets' chance of winning at 52%, with the Diamondbacks at 48%."

For a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Mets vs. Diamondbacks predictions page.

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Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Diamondbacks 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Mets a 52% chance of defeating the Diamondbacks.

According to our model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9 runs has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 7:29PM, May 7
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Mets
Win %
52%
48%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
D-Backs
Mets NYM
Win %
52%
48%
See Matchup
D-Backs ARI
Kodai Senga 3-2, 1.38 ERA
Merrill Kelly 3-1, 4.06 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Odds [5/7/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mets Diamondbacks
Run Line -1.5 (+140) +1.5 (-162)
Moneyline -116 +100
Total o9 (-120) u9 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Mets vs. Diamondbacks Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Mets vs. Diamondbacks matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Free ⚾️ Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest predictions featured below.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Wednesday's MLB game between the Diamondbacks and Mets at Chase Field is scheduled to start at 3:40PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Wednesday's Mets vs. Diamondbacks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any NY Mets vs. Arizona picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict the Mets, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Diamondbacks on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mets vs. Diamondbacks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds offer the most up-to-date predictions for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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