Liberty vs. Fever prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 17 points in Saturday's WNBA matchup [7/18/2026]
Get New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever predictions for WNBA Saturday.
The Indiana Fever will face the New York Liberty in WNBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Saturday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Liberty as the most likely winner of the Liberty vs. Fever game.
The Fever, who have stars like Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston, are set to take on the Liberty, featuring Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones.
Clark, the sweet-shooting guard for the Fever, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 17 points and 2 threes.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Liberty vs. Fever prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Liberty a 58.0% chance of beating the Fever.
According to our model, the Fever (+2.5) have a 50.9% chance of covering the spread, while the 180.5-point over/under has a 65.8% chance of staying under,.
Liberty vs. Fever odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Liberty | Fever |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-105) | +2.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -130 | +120 |
| Total | o180.5 (-105) | u180.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Liberty vs. Fever picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fever +2.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Liberty | hard_rock-130 |
| Total | Under 180.5 | -112 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 180.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Liberty vs. Fever player props
Betting on New York vs. Indiana WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Breanna Stewart is expected to lead the Liberty with 21 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 21 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists for the Fever.
When evaluating the first basket market, Breanna Stewart is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 14.3% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Liberty prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Liberty are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 41 |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 18 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 38 |
| Jonquel Jones | 15 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 34 |
| Pauline Astier | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 20 |
| Marine Johannes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 |
Fever prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 21 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 32 |
| Caitlin Clark | 17 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 39 |
| Aliyah Boston | 14 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 35 |
| S. Cunningham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 |
| M. Billings | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 |
Liberty vs. Fever game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Fever and Liberty at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever
- Date: Saturday, July 18, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Liberty, with a 58.0% win probability, will likely beat the Fever in Saturday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
