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Read Article Liberty vs. Sun prediction: Why New York is favored to win Monday's WNBA matchup [6/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun predictions for WNBA Monday.
WNBA action continues on Monday at 7:00 PM ET as the New York Liberty take on the Connecticut Sun at Mohegan Sun Arena.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Liberty as the most likely winner of the Liberty vs. Sun game.
The Sun, who have the likes of Aneesah Morrow, Leila Lacan and Diamond Miller, will face off against the Liberty, whose lineup includes Breanna Stewart, Jonquel Jones and Pauline Astier.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Liberty vs. Sun prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's WNBA matchup between the Liberty and Sun, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Liberty an 84.2% chance of defeating the Sun.
According to our model, the Sun (+12.5) have a 58.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 163.5 points has a 57.1% chance of staying under.
Liberty vs. Sun odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Liberty | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -12.5 (-112) | +12.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | -800 | +575 |
| Total | o163.5 (-105) | u163.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Liberty vs. Sun picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sun +12.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Sun | +575 |
| Total | Under 163.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sun +12.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Liberty vs. Sun player props
WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the New York vs. Connecticut game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mohegan Sun Arena.
Breanna Stewart is expected to lead the Liberty with 20 points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists, while Aneesah Morrow is projected to have 13 points, 11 rebounds and 1 assists for the Sun.
When evaluating the first basket market, Leila Lacan is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 12.8% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Liberty prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Liberty are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 20 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 43 |
| Jonquel Jones | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 35 |
| Pauline Astier | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 28 |
| Satou Sabally | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
| Marine Johannes | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 20 |
Sun prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aneesah Morrow | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 34 |
| Leila Lacan | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 21 |
| Diamond Miller | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 |
| Saniya Rivers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 21 |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
Liberty vs. Sun game-day updates and essential details
Monday's action between the Sun and Liberty at Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun
- Date: Monday, June 8, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Liberty, with an 84.2% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Monday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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