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Jets vs. Saints prediction: New Orleans favored to win in NFL Week 16 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get New York Jets vs New Orleans Saints predictions for NFL Sunday.
The New Orleans Saints will take on the New York Jets in NFL Week 16 action at Caesars Superdome on Sunday, commencing at 1:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Saints as the most likely winner of the Jets vs. Saints game.
This article offers a closer look at this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Jets vs. Saints prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Jets-Saints predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Jets and Saints 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Saints a 74% chance of beating the Jets in Week 16 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Saints winning 23-17.
According to our model, the Jets (+6.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 40.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 16 straight up picks.
Jets vs. Saints odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Jets | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-110) | -6.5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | +240 | -285 |
| Total | o40.5 (-105) | u40.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Jets vs. Saints picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jets +6.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Saints | -285 |
| Total | Over 40.5 | -105 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Jets +6.5 at the spread.
Jets vs. Saints TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Jets vs. Saints?
According to our model, Audric Estime is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Jets vs. Saints.
Our projections give Estime a 38.2% chance of scoring a TD at Caesars Superdome, while the running back is a 9.9% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
New York Jets
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall (RB) | 36.9% |
| Adonai Mitchell (WR) | 23.9% |
| John Metchie (WR) | 20.2% |
| Isaiah Davis (RB) | 18.3% |
| Isaiah Williams (WR) | 15.0% |
New Orleans Saints
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Audric Estime (RB) | 38.2% |
| Chris Olave (WR) | 33.8% |
| Evan Hull (RB) | 28.0% |
| Tyler Shough (QB) | 27.0% |
| Juwan Johnson (TE) | 26.7% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
New York Jets
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall (RB) | 10.0% |
| Adonai Mitchell (WR) | 5.9% |
| John Metchie (WR) | 4.9% |
| Isaiah Davis (RB) | 4.4% |
| Isaiah Williams (WR) | 3.5% |
New Orleans Saints
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Audric Estime (RB) | 9.9% |
| Chris Olave (WR) | 8.5% |
| Evan Hull (RB) | 6.8% |
| Tyler Shough (QB) | 6.5% |
| Juwan Johnson (TE) | 6.4% |
Jets vs Saints player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Jets and Saints. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 16 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jets' Brady Cook is projected to have a quiet game with 171 passing yards. The Saints' Tyler Shough is expected to throw for 222 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Brady Cook (NYJ) | 171 |
| Tyler Shough (NO) | 222 |
Jets rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall | 68 |
| Isaiah Davis | 26 |
| Brady Cook | 20 |
Saints rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Audric Estime | 44 |
| Evan Hull | 29 |
| Tyler Shough | 24 |
Jets receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Adonai Mitchell | 47 |
| John Metchie | 37 |
| Isaiah Williams | 27 |
| Jeremy Ruckert | 22 |
| Breece Hall | 17 |
Saints receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Chris Olave | 71 |
| Juwan Johnson | 42 |
| Mason Tipton | 29 |
| Kevin Austin | 28 |
| Audric Estime | 17 |
Jets vs. Saints game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 16 matchup between the Saints and Jets at Caesars Superdome is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: New York Jets vs. New Orleans Saints
- Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Caesars Superdome
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Conclusion
We predict the Saints, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Jets in Week 16 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jets vs. Saints insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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