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Giants vs. Raiders prediction: Giants favored to win in NFL Week 17 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get New York Giants vs Las Vegas Raiders predictions for NFL Sunday.
The Las Vegas Raiders will take on the New York Giants in NFL Week 17 action at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 4:05 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Giants as the most likely winner of the Giants vs. Raiders game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Giants vs. Raiders prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Giants-Raiders predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Giants and Raiders 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Giants a 64% chance of defeating the Raiders in Week 17 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Giants winning 22-18.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Giants and Raiders each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 40.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 17 straight up picks.
Giants vs. Raiders odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Giants | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3 (-102) | +3 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -154 | +140 |
| Total | o40.5 (-110) | u40.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Giants vs. Raiders picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Giants -3 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Giants | -154 |
| Total | Over 40.5 | -110 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Giants to win.
Giants vs. Raiders TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Giants vs. Raiders?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 17, Ashton Jeanty is most likely to score an anytime TD in Giants vs. Raiders.
Our projections give Jeanty a 54.5% chance of scoring a TD at Allegiant Stadium, while the running back is a 19.0% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
New York Giants
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaxson Dart (QB) | 32.1% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson (WR) | 31.6% |
| Devin Singletary (RB) | 30.9% |
| Tyrone Tracy (RB) | 29.0% |
| Darius Slayton (WR) | 21.5% |
Las Vegas Raiders
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty (RB) | 54.5% |
| Tre Tucker (WR) | 29.9% |
| Michael Mayer (TE) | 21.4% |
| Tyler Lockett (WR) | 11.6% |
| Geno Smith (QB) | 9.0% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
New York Giants
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaxson Dart (QB) | 8.6% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson (WR) | 8.5% |
| Devin Singletary (RB) | 8.3% |
| Tyrone Tracy (RB) | 7.7% |
| Darius Slayton (WR) | 5.4% |
Las Vegas Raiders
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty (RB) | 19.0% |
| Tre Tucker (WR) | 8.6% |
| Michael Mayer (TE) | 5.8% |
| Tyler Lockett (WR) | 3.0% |
| Geno Smith (QB) | 2.3% |
Giants vs Raiders player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Giants and Raiders. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 17 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Giants' Jaxson Dart is projected for 192 passing yards. The Raiders' Geno Smith is expected to throw for 198 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Jaxson Dart (NYG) | 192 |
| Geno Smith (LV) | 198 |
Giants rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Tyrone Tracy | 62 |
| Devin Singletary | 39 |
| Jaxson Dart | 29 |
Raiders rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty | 73 |
| Geno Smith | 11 |
| Tre Tucker | 3 |
Giants receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Wan'Dale Robinson | 63 |
| Darius Slayton | 42 |
| Daniel Bellinger | 28 |
| Isaiah Hodgins | 22 |
| Tyrone Tracy | 17 |
Raiders receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Tre Tucker | 50 |
| Michael Mayer | 38 |
| Tyler Lockett | 30 |
| Ashton Jeanty | 28 |
| Dont'e Thornton | 20 |
Giants vs. Raiders game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 17 game between the Raiders and Giants at Allegiant Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:05 PM ET.
- Who: New York Giants vs. Las Vegas Raiders
- Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
- Time: 4:05 PM ET/1:05PM PT
- Venue: Allegiant Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Giants, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Week 17 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Giants vs. Raiders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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