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Giants vs. Raiders prediction: Giants favored to win in NFL Week 17 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get New York Giants vs Las Vegas Raiders predictions for NFL Sunday.
The Las Vegas Raiders will take on the New York Giants in NFL Week 17 action at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 4:05 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Giants as the most likely winner of the Giants vs. Raiders game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Giants vs. Raiders prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Giants-Raiders predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Giants and Raiders 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Giants a 61% chance of beating the Raiders in Week 17 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Giants winning 22-19.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Giants and Raiders each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 41.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 17 straight up picks.
Giants vs. Raiders odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Giants | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-110) | +2.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -142 | +124 |
| Total | o41.5 (-108) | u41.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Giants vs. Raiders picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raiders +2.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Giants | -142 |
| Total | Over 41.5 | -108 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Giants to win.
Giants vs. Raiders TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Giants vs. Raiders?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Ashton Jeanty is most likely to score an anytime TD in Giants vs. Raiders.
Our projections give Jeanty a 54.5% chance of getting in for six at Allegiant Stadium, while the running back is a 16.5% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
New York Giants
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaxson Dart (QB) | 32.1% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson (WR) | 31.6% |
| Tyrone Tracy (RB) | 28.4% |
| Devin Singletary (RB) | 26.9% |
| Darius Slayton (WR) | 17.5% |
Las Vegas Raiders
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty (RB) | 54.5% |
| Tre Tucker (WR) | 29.9% |
| Michael Mayer (TE) | 20.5% |
| Jack Bech (WR) | 19.7% |
| Tyler Lockett (WR) | 11.6% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
New York Giants
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Jaxson Dart (QB) | 9.3% |
| Wan'Dale Robinson (WR) | 9.1% |
| Tyrone Tracy (RB) | 8.1% |
| Devin Singletary (RB) | 7.6% |
| Darius Slayton (WR) | 4.6% |
Las Vegas Raiders
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty (RB) | 16.5% |
| Tre Tucker (WR) | 7.4% |
| Michael Mayer (TE) | 4.8% |
| Jack Bech (WR) | 4.6% |
| Tyler Lockett (WR) | 2.6% |
Giants vs Raiders player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Giants and Raiders. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 17 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Giants' Jaxson Dart is projected for 193 passing yards. The Raiders' Geno Smith is expected to throw for 201 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Jaxson Dart (NYG) | 193 |
| Geno Smith (LV) | 201 |
Giants rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Tyrone Tracy | 61 |
| Devin Singletary | 35 |
| Jaxson Dart | 30 |
Raiders rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty | 71 |
| Geno Smith | 11 |
| Raheem Mostert | 9 |
Giants receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Wan'Dale Robinson | 64 |
| Darius Slayton | 42 |
| Daniel Bellinger | 26 |
| Isaiah Hodgins | 22 |
| Tyrone Tracy | 17 |
Raiders receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Tre Tucker | 50 |
| Michael Mayer | 38 |
| Jack Bech | 33 |
| Ashton Jeanty | 29 |
| Tyler Lockett | 21 |
Giants vs. Raiders game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 17 game between the Raiders and Giants at Allegiant Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:05 PM ET.
- Who: New York Giants vs. Las Vegas Raiders
- Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
- Time: 4:05 PM ET/1:05PM PT
- Venue: Allegiant Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Giants, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Week 17 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Giants vs. Raiders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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