Giants vs. Bears prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win in NFL Week 10, 2025

The Chicago Bears will square off with the New York Giants in NFL Week 10 action at Soldier Field on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Bears as the most likely winner of the Giants vs. Bears game.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including touchdown scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.

Giants vs. Bears prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Since our Giants-Bears predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Giants and Bears 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Bears a 66% chance of defeating the Giants in Week 10 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bears winning 24-20.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Giants and Bears each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 10 straight up picks.

Giants vs. Bears odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Giants	Bears
Spread	+4.5 (-108)	-4.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+184	-218
Total	o44.5 (-110)	u44.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Giants vs. Bears picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Bears -4.5	-105
Moneyline	Giants	+184
Total	Under 44.5	-108

According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Bears -4.5 at the spread.

Giants vs. Bears TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Giants vs. Bears?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, D'Andre Swift is most likely to score an anytime TD in Giants vs. Bears.

Our projections give Swift a 43.7% chance of scoring a TD at Soldier Field, while the running back is a 10.5% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New York Giants

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jaxson Dart (QB)	33.1%
Wan'Dale Robinson (WR)	31.3%
Tyrone Tracy (RB)	29.4%
Theo Johnson (TE)	27.6%
Devin Singletary (RB)	26.5%

Chicago Bears

Player	Anytime TD Probability
D'Andre Swift (RB)	43.7%
Kyle Monangai (RB)	34.6%
Rome Odunze (WR)	33.7%
DJ Moore (WR)	26.2%
Colston Loveland (TE)	22.9%

First touchdown scorer predictions

New York Giants

Player	First TD Probability
Jaxson Dart (QB)	7.0%
Wan'Dale Robinson (WR)	6.6%
Tyrone Tracy (RB)	6.1%
Theo Johnson (TE)	5.6%
Devin Singletary (RB)	5.4%

Chicago Bears

Player	First TD Probability
D'Andre Swift (RB)	10.5%
Kyle Monangai (RB)	7.7%
Rome Odunze (WR)	7.5%
DJ Moore (WR)	5.5%
Colston Loveland (TE)	4.7%

Giants vs Bears player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Giants and Bears. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 10 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Giants' Jaxson Dart is projected for 207 passing yards, while the Bears' Caleb Williams is expected to throw for 216 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Jaxson Dart (NYG)	207
Caleb Williams (CHI)	216

Giants rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Tyrone Tracy	45
Jaxson Dart	37
Devin Singletary	37

Bears rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
D'Andre Swift	59
Kyle Monangai	48
Caleb Williams	23

Giants receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Wan'Dale Robinson	56
Darius Slayton	45
Theo Johnson	35
Ray-Ray McCloud	21
Tyrone Tracy	19

Bears receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Rome Odunze	57
DJ Moore	45
Olamide Zaccheaus	35
Colston Loveland	32
Luther Burden	19

Giants vs. Bears game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 10 action between the Bears and Giants at Soldier Field is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: New York Giants vs. Chicago Bears
• Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Soldier Field

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Conclusion

We predict the Bears, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Giants in Week 10 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Giants vs. Bears insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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