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Pelicans vs. Spurs prediction: San Antonio to win, Victor Wembanyama projected for 25 points in Sunday's NBA game [1/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs predictions for NBA Sunday.
The San Antonio Spurs and New Orleans Pelicans will lock horns in NBA action at Frost Bank Center on Sunday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Pelicans vs. Spurs game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Spurs lineup will feature stars like Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle, while the Pelicans will rely on Zion Williamson, Trey Murphy and Saddiq Bey.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Pelicans vs. Spurs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA game between the Pelicans and Spurs 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Spurs an 80% chance of beating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 123-113.
According to our model, the Pelicans (+11.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 239.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Pelicans vs. Spurs odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pelicans | Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +11.5 (-110) | -11.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +400 | -500 |
| Total | o239.5 (-112) | u239.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pelicans vs. Spurs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pelicans +11.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Pelicans | +400 |
| Total | Under 239.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Pelicans +11.5 at the spread.
Pelicans vs. Spurs player props
Betting on New Orleans vs. San Antonio NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Frost Bank Center.
Zion Williamson is expected to lead the Pelicans with 23 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Victor Wembanyama is projected to have 25 points, 11 rebounds and 3 assists for the Spurs.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Pelicans prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Pelicans are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson | 23 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 42 |
| Trey Murphy | 21 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 39 |
| Saddiq Bey | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 27 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| Derik Queen | 11 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 34 |
Spurs prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Spurs:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Wembanyama | 25 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 56 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 20 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 40 |
| Stephon Castle | 18 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 43 |
| Keldon Johnson | 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 |
| Devin Vassell | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
Pelicans vs. Spurs game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Spurs and Pelicans at Frost Bank Center is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: New Orleans Pelicans vs. San Antonio Spurs
- Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Sunday, with Victor Wembanyama projected for a game-high 56 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pelicans vs. Spurs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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