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Pelicans vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pelicans vs. Spurs NBA game on January 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
104
95
Jan 26, 12AM Frost Bank Center
Jan 26, 12AM Frost Bank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pelicans | 25 | 31 | 26 | 21 | 104 |
Spurs | 28 | 19 | 21 | 27 | 95 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pelicans | 25 | 31 | 26 | 21 | 104 |
Spurs | 28 | 19 | 21 | 27 | 95 |
Q4 00:22 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:28 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:00 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:43 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:21 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:54 Pelicans makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:04 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:22 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 5:13 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-95
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
102-95
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-93
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
100-93
Pelicans personal foul
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
98-93
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
96-93
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
93-93
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Yves Missi makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-93
Pelicans personal foul
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Julian Champagnie makes technical free throw 1 of 1
87-88
Derik Queen turnover (offensive foul)
Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet)
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
87-87
Derik Queen offensive rebound
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
85-85
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Micah Peavy, Derik Queen, Jose Alvarado, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson)
Saddiq Bey misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
84-79
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Zion Williamson offensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
82-68
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Spurs turnover
Pelicans offensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Micah Peavy, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III)
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Micah Peavy defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Luke Kornet makes two point tip layup
80-63
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
+2
Karlo Matkovic makes two point jump shot
80-61
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
78-61
Pelicans lineup change (Micah Peavy, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III)
Spurs personal foul
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-58
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey)
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
72-56
Spurs 60 second timeout
Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
70-53
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
68-53
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
66-53
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
63-49
Spurs turnover
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Zion Williamson offensive rebound
Zion Williamson offensive rebound
Spurs turnover
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
59-49
Trey Murphy III offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
56-48
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-49
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Pelicans offensive rebound
Pelicans offensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
56-47
Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
54-47
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs personal foul
Spurs personal foul
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-41
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle)
Yves Missi defensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
46-41
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Zion Williamson)
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
44-39
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 1
42-39
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet)
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-39
Pelicans lineup change (Micah Peavy, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey)
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-37
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey)
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-38
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Yves Missi defensive rebound
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
37-36
Pelicans personal foul
Karlo Matkovic turnover
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Karlo Matkovic turnover
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears, Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson)
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
+2
Zion Williamson makes two point floating jump shot
37-33
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
35-33
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
35-30
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
Spurs offensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Micah Peavy, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Jose Alvarado, Zion Williamson)
De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Micah Peavy offensive rebound
Yves Missi defensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
32-30
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
30-30
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Devin Vassell misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Jose Alvarado, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
25-27
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
23-27
Pelicans defensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Micah Peavy, Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Jose Alvarado, Zion Williamson)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
19-24
Pelicans turnover
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
17-22
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper)
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
17-18
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
17-16
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Yves Missi defensive rebound
Pelicans offensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey)
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-16
Pelicans defensive rebound
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
8-14
Pelicans turnover
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
8-11
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
6-11
Spurs personal foul
Saddiq Bey misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
2-8
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
2-6
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
2-3
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
2-0
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 21 | Y. Missi | 10 | 14 | 2 |
| G | 25 | T. Murphy III | 17 | 6 | 9 |
| F | 1 | Z. Williamson | 24 | 10 | 4 |
| F | 41 | S. Bey | 24 | 10 | 4 |
| G | 2 | H. Jones | 9 | 3 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 5 | S. Castle | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| G | 4 | D. Fox | 12 | 2 | 7 |
| F | 30 | J. Champagnie | 13 | 4 | 1 |
| F-G | 3 | K. Johnson | 15 | 2 | 1 |
| C | 1 | V. Wembanyama | 16 | 16 | 0 |
Game Prediction Article
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Pelicans vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pelicans vs. Spurs
- Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -11.5
- Total (Over/Under): 240
- Moneyline Odds: Pelicans +410, Spurs -480
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pelicans: 20%
- Spurs: 80%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pelicans 113-123 Spurs.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pelicans a win probability of 20%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 80%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pelicans vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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