Warriors vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Timberwolves NBA game on January 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Warriors
111
85
Target Center
Timberwolves
Target Center
TEAM1234T
Warriors
24 23 38 26 111
Timberwolves
19 27 17 22 85
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Warriors
    >99%
  • Timberwolves
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Warriors
24 23 38 26 111
Timberwolves
19 27 17 22 85
Q4 1:59 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:12 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:35 Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:21 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:46 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 5:50 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 6:39 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 8:15 Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
Q4 8:18 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:41 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:21
    Quinten Post defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:22
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  4. Q4 00:28
    Trayce Jackson-Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  5. Q4 1:04
    LJ Cryer defensive rebound
  6. Q4 1:12
    Joan Beringer defensive rebound
  7. Q4 1:33
    Leonard Miller offensive rebound
  8. Q4 1:47
    Warriors personal foul
  9. Q4 1:47
    Quinten Post turnover (offensive foul)
  10. Q4 1:47
    Timberwolves personal foul
  11. Q4 1:59
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  12. Q4 2:11
    Timberwolves personal foul
  13. Q4 2:11
    +1
    Quinten Post makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    106-85
  14. Q4 2:11
    +1
    Quinten Post makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    107-85
  15. Q4 2:12
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  16. Q4 2:12
    Warriors offensive rebound
  17. Q4 2:35
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    105-85
  18. Q4 3:21
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  19. Q4 3:21
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  20. Q4 3:21
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Will Richard, Quinten Post, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Pat Spencer)
  21. Q4 3:46
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    103-82
  22. Q4 4:09
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  23. Q4 4:25
    Rob Dillingham defensive rebound
  24. Q4 5:10
    Timberwolves 60 second timeout
  25. Q4 5:10
    Timberwolves lineup change (Joan Beringer, Rob Dillingham, Leonard Miller, Joe Ingles, Jaylen Clark)
  26. Q4 5:13
    De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
  27. Q4 5:50
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    97-79
  28. Q4 6:02
    Mike Conley defensive rebound
  29. Q4 6:25
    De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
  30. Q4 6:39
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    97-77
  31. Q4 6:39
    Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  32. Q4 6:42
    Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
  33. Q4 7:02
    Warriors personal foul
  34. Q4 7:02
    +1
    Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    97-75
  35. Q4 7:13
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Gui Santos, De'Anthony Melton)
  36. Q4 7:25
    Timberwolves personal foul
  37. Q4 7:25
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Gui Santos)
  38. Q4 7:25
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    97-73
  39. Q4 7:31
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  40. Q4 7:35
    Anthony Edwards offensive rebound
  41. Q4 7:35
    Anthony Edwards offensive rebound
  42. Q4 8:15
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    95-73
  43. Q4 8:18
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  44. Q4 8:41
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    95-70
  45. Q4 8:41
    Timberwolves 60 second timeout
  46. Q4 8:41
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Al Horford, Will Richard, Gui Santos)
  47. Q4 8:52
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  48. Q4 9:17
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  49. Q4 9:23
    Warriors personal foul
  50. Q4 9:23
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Julius Randle)
  51. Q4 9:23
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Buddy Hield, Gui Santos)
  52. Q4 9:24
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  53. Q4 9:45
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  54. Q4 9:45
    Bones Hyland misses regular free throw 3 of 3
  55. Q4 10:02
    Warriors personal foul
  56. Q4 10:15
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    90-68
  57. Q4 10:24
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  58. Q4 10:34
    Warriors turnover
  59. Q4 10:34
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  60. Q4 10:36
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  61. Q4 10:43
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  62. Q4 10:47
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  63. Q4 10:56
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  64. Q4 11:12
    Warriors personal foul
  65. Q4 11:12
    +1
    Donte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    87-67
  66. Q4 11:25
    Timberwolves personal foul
  67. Q4 11:40
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    85-66
  68. Q3 00:00
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  69. Q3 00:00
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  70. Q4 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Buddy Hield, Gary Payton II)
  71. Q3 00:05
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    85-63
  72. Q3 00:33
    Buddy Hield defensive rebound
  73. Q3 00:46
    Warriors personal foul
  74. Q3 00:55
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    82-61
  75. Q3 1:14
    Timberwolves turnover
  76. Q3 1:21
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  77. Q3 1:33
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  78. Q3 1:35
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  79. Q3 1:53
    Warriors offensive rebound
  80. Q3 2:10
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  81. Q3 2:11
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  82. Q3 2:11
    Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Quinten Post, De'Anthony Melton)
  83. Q3 2:45
    +1
    Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    75-60
  84. Q3 2:45
    Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
  85. Q3 2:54
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    75-59
  86. Q3 2:57
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  87. Q3 3:30
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    73-57
  88. Q3 3:42
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  89. Q3 3:51
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  90. Q3 4:02
    Timberwolves personal foul
  91. Q3 4:02
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
  92. Q3 4:15
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    69-57
  93. Q3 4:39
    Warriors turnover
  94. Q3 4:44
    Warriors offensive rebound
  95. Q3 4:50
    Timberwolves personal foul
  96. Q3 4:56
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  97. Q3 5:28
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    64-55
  98. Q3 5:28
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Gui Santos, Quinten Post, De'Anthony Melton)
  99. Q3 5:34
    Warriors turnover
  100. Q3 5:55
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  101. Q3 5:55
    Donte DiVincenzo misses two point tip layup
  102. Q3 6:00
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  103. Q3 6:24
    Warriors personal foul
  104. Q3 6:24
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Quinten Post)
  105. Q3 6:24
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Quinten Post)
  106. Q3 6:24
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Quinten Post)
  107. Q3 6:24
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Quinten Post)
  108. Q3 6:48
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  109. Q3 7:00
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  110. Q3 7:27
    Warriors personal foul
  111. Q3 7:27
    +1
    Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    60-51
  112. Q3 7:27
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Quinten Post)
  113. Q3 7:44
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    62-51
  114. Q3 8:10
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    60-51
  115. Q3 8:45
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    58-49
  116. Q3 8:52
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  117. Q3 9:32
    Timberwolves turnover
  118. Q3 9:39
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  119. Q3 10:06
    Timberwolves 60 second timeout
  120. Q3 10:11
    Timberwolves turnover
  121. Q3 10:31
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  122. Q3 10:57
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    49-46
  123. Q3 11:05
    Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
  124. Q3 11:19
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  125. Q3 11:26
    Stephen Curry turnover
  126. Q3 11:32
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  127. Q3 11:50
    Al Horford misses three point jump shot
  128. Q2 00:00
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  129. Q2 00:00
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  130. Q3 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski)
  131. Q2 00:17
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    47-46
  132. Q2 00:31
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  133. Q2 00:47
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  134. Q2 1:11
    Will Richard turnover (offensive foul)
  135. Q2 1:30
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    47-41
  136. Q2 1:46
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  137. Q2 1:56
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  138. Q2 2:02
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  139. Q2 2:08
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Gary Payton II)
  140. Q2 2:11
    Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
  141. Q2 2:34
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    47-39
  142. Q2 2:46
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  143. Q2 3:09
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    47-36
  144. Q2 3:31
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  145. Q2 3:45
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  146. Q2 4:17
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  147. Q2 4:25
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  148. Q2 4:49
    Timberwolves personal foul
  149. Q2 4:49
    +1
    De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    42-33
  150. Q2 5:05
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  151. Q2 5:09
    Timberwolves turnover
  152. Q2 5:19
    Brandin Podziemski turnover (offensive foul)
  153. Q2 5:24
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  154. Q2 5:34
    Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
  155. Q2 5:44
    Timberwolves turnover
  156. Q2 6:15
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    40-33
  157. Q2 6:31
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  158. Q2 6:36
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    40-30
  159. Q2 6:44
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  160. Q2 6:55
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    37-30
  161. Q2 6:55
    Timberwolves 60 second timeout
  162. Q2 6:55
    Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Donte DiVincenzo, Mike Conley, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
  163. Q2 7:14
    Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
  164. Q2 7:37
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    35-27
  165. Q2 7:41
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  166. Q2 8:01
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Al Horford, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
  167. Q2 8:08
    Stephen Curry offensive rebound
  168. Q2 8:17
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  169. Q2 8:32
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    32-24
  170. Q2 8:59
    Warriors turnover
  171. Q2 9:05
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Bones Hyland, Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Julius Randle)
  172. Q2 9:30
    Warriors personal foul
  173. Q2 9:30
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, De'Anthony Melton)
  174. Q2 9:37
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  175. Q2 9:49
    Warriors defensive rebound
  176. Q2 9:55
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  177. Q2 10:13
    Timberwolves defensive rebound
  178. Q2 10:14
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  179. Q2 10:20
    Timberwolves personal foul
  180. Q2 10:21
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  181. Q2 10:36
    Timberwolves personal foul
  182. Q2 10:36
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    29-19
  183. Q2 10:48
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  184. Q2 11:02
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  185. Q2 11:24
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  186. Q1 00:00
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  187. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  188. Q2 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Gary Payton II)
  189. Q1 00:04
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Al Horford, Buddy Hield, De'Anthony Melton)
  190. Q1 00:21
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  191. Q1 00:38
    Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
  192. Q1 00:59
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    24-19
  193. Q1 1:36
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  194. Q1 1:39
    Warriors personal foul
  195. Q1 1:39
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  196. Q1 1:39
    Naz Reid misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  197. Q1 1:47
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  198. Q1 2:07
    +1
    Mike Conley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    21-16
  199. Q1 2:28
    Naz Reid defensive rebound
  200. Q1 2:39
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  201. Q1 2:39
    Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Jaylen Clark)
  202. Q1 2:39
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton)
  203. Q1 2:39
    Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Jaylen Clark)
  204. Q1 2:45
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  205. Q1 2:58
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  206. Q1 3:09
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  207. Q1 3:09
    Warriors defensive rebound
  208. Q1 3:28
    Naz Reid defensive rebound
  209. Q1 3:37
    Timberwolves turnover
  210. Q1 3:47
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  211. Q1 4:02
    Mike Conley defensive rebound
  212. Q1 4:17
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    21-16
  213. Q1 4:17
    Instant replay
  214. Q1 4:17
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski)
  215. Q1 4:17
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
  216. Q1 4:41
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    19-13
  217. Q1 4:49
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  218. Q1 5:03
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  219. Q1 5:29
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    16-11
  220. Q1 5:53
    Timberwolves turnover
  221. Q1 5:53
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Gui Santos, Quinten Post)
  222. Q1 6:17
    Timberwolves turnover
  223. Q1 6:24
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  224. Q1 6:31
    Timberwolves turnover
  225. Q1 6:45
    Timberwolves defensive rebound
  226. Q1 6:54
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  227. Q1 7:06
    Naz Reid defensive rebound
  228. Q1 7:19
    Timberwolves turnover
  229. Q1 7:19
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Quinten Post)
  230. Q1 7:25
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  231. Q1 7:38
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    14-9
  232. Q1 7:50
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  233. Q1 8:16
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  234. Q1 8:34
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    14-4
  235. Q1 8:48
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  236. Q1 9:12
    Timberwolves violation
  237. Q1 9:14
    Timberwolves turnover
  238. Q1 9:23
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    9-2
  239. Q1 9:33
    Timberwolves turnover
  240. Q1 9:49
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    8-2
  241. Q1 10:09
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  242. Q1 10:12
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  243. Q1 10:40
    Timberwolves turnover
  244. Q1 10:43
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  245. Q1 10:58
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    2-2
  246. Q1 11:06
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  247. Q1 11:16
    Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
  248. Q1 11:36
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    0-2
  249. Q1 12:00
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
Box Score
Warriors
PosPlayerPts
Timberwolves
PosPlayerPts

Warriors vs. Timberwolves: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Warriors vs. Timberwolves
  • Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
  • Time: 5:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Target Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Timberwolves favored at -7
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Warriors +205, Timberwolves -225

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Warriors: 30%
  • Timberwolves: 70%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 114-120 Timberwolves.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 30%, while the Timberwolves have a win probability of 70%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Timberwolves are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Target Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Warriors vs. Timberwolves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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