Pelicans vs. Thunder prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [11/2/2025]

The Oklahoma City Thunder will square off with the New Orleans Pelicans in NBA action at Paycom Center on Sunday, commencing at 3:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Pelicans vs. Thunder game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature stars like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins and Ajay Mitchell, while the Pelicans will rely on Zion Williamson, Jordan Poole and Trey Murphy.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Pelicans vs. Thunder prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Pelicans and Thunder 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Thunder an 82% chance of beating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 119-108.

According to our model, the Pelicans (+13) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 228.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Pelicans vs. Thunder odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Pelicans	Thunder
Spread	+13 (-110)	-13 (-110)
Moneyline	+550	-700
Total	o228.5 (-112)	u228.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pelicans vs. Thunder picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Pelicans +13	-110
Moneyline	Pelicans	+550
Total	Under 228.5	-108

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Pelicans +13 at the spread.

Pelicans vs. Thunder player props

NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on the Pelicans vs. Thunder game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.

Zion Williamson is expected to lead the Pelicans with 24 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to have 33 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists for the Thunder.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Pelicans prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Pelicans are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Zion Williamson	24	7	5	0
Jordan Poole	18	3	4	3
Trey Murphy	18	5	3	3
Jeremiah Fears	13	3	4	1
Herbert Jones	9	4	2	1

Thunder prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Thunder:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	33	5	7	2
Aaron Wiggins	16	5	3	3
Ajay Mitchell	15	3	3	2
Isaiah Joe	13	4	2	3
Isaiah Hartenstein	12	11	4	0

Pelicans vs. Thunder game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Thunder and Pelicans at Paycom Center is scheduled to commence at 3:30PM ET.

• Who: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Date: Sunday, November 2, 2025
• Time: 3:30PM ET/12:30PM PT
• Venue: Paycom Center

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Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pelicans vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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