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Pelicans vs. Grizzlies prediction: Why Memphis is favored to win Friday's NBA matchup [1/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies predictions for NBA Friday.
The Memphis Grizzlies will square off with the New Orleans Pelicans in NBA action at FedExForum on Friday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Grizzlies as the most likely winner of the Pelicans vs. Grizzlies game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature stars like Jaren Jackson, Cam Spencer and Cedric Coward, while the Pelicans will be led by Zion Williamson, Trey Murphy and Saddiq Bey.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA game between the Pelicans and Grizzlies 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Grizzlies a 63% chance of beating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Grizzlies winning 120-116.
According to our model, the Pelicans (+4.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 240.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pelicans | Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-102) | -4.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +165 | -194 |
| Total | o240.5 (-105) | u240.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pelicans +4.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Pelicans | +165 |
| Total | Under 240.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Under 240.5 total points.
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies player props
Looking for New Orleans vs. Memphis NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.
Zion Williamson is expected to lead the Pelicans with 25 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Jaren Jackson is projected to have 22 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists for the Grizzlies.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Pelicans prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Pelicans are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson | 25 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 44 |
| Trey Murphy | 23 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 43 |
| Saddiq Bey | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 28 |
| Jordan Poole | 13 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 24 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 25 |
Grizzlies prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson | 22 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 40 |
| Cam Spencer | 16 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 37 |
| Cedric Coward | 16 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| Jock Landale | 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
| Jaylen Wells | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between the Grizzlies and Pelicans at FedExForum is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Friday, January 23, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: FedExForum
Conclusion
We predict the Grizzlies, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Friday, with Zion Williamson projected for a game-high 44 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pelicans vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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