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Pelicans vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pelicans vs. Grizzlies NBA game on January 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
133
127
Jan 24, 1AM FedExForum
Jan 24, 1AM FedExForum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pelicans | 30 | 30 | 68 | 0 | 133 |
Grizzlies | 33 | 32 | 58 | 0 | 127 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
65%
35%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pelicans | 30 | 30 | 68 | 0 | 133 |
Grizzlies | 33 | 32 | 58 | 0 | 127 |
Q4 2:10 Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:47 Saddiq Bey makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:00 Cedric Coward makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:05 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:11 Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:30 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:56 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:11 Saddiq Bey makes three point jump shot
Q4 5:19 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:23 Yves Missi misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
128-123
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Jaren Jackson Jr. personal foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Trey Murphy III shooting foul (Cam Spencer draws the foul)
+3
Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot
125-123
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 1
128-123
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
128-123
Jaren Jackson Jr. turnover
Jaren Jackson Jr. personal foul (Derik Queen draws the foul)
+2
Saddiq Bey makes two point jump shot
128-123
Jaylen Wells turnover
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 3
128-123
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 3 of 3
128-123
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
+2
Cedric Coward makes two point jump shot
125-123
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Saddiq Bey makes three point jump shot
128-123
+1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 2
128-123
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears)
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Yves Missi misses two point jump shot
+2
Cam Spencer makes two point jump shot
106-106
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 1
128-123
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
128-123
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
128-123
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Jock Landale misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, Cam Spencer, John Konchar, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, GG Jackson)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
Jordan Poole defensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses three point stepback jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
John Konchar offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Pelicans offensive rebound
Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Grizzlies personal foul
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
128-123
Yves Missi defensive rebound
+3
Jordan Poole makes three point pullup jump shot (Karlo Matkovic assists)
93-101
Instant replay
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic, Jordan Poole, Jeremiah Fears)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
128-123
Jeremiah Fears personal foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
99-104
Grizzlies turnover
Cedric Coward blocks Yves Missi's two point cutting dunk
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, John Konchar, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Vince Williams Jr.)
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Karlo Matkovic, Jordan Poole, Jeremiah Fears)
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Karlo Matkovic, Jordan Poole, Jeremiah Fears)
Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, John Konchar, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Vince Williams Jr.)
Jeremiah Fears misses three point jump shot
Karlo Matkovic offensive rebound
Trey Murphy III misses three point running pullup jump shot
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
125-123
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
125-123
Karlo Matkovic offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies lineup change (John Konchar, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaren Jackson Jr., Vince Williams Jr., GG Jackson)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Micah Peavy, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
Derik Queen misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
+3
Jock Landale makes three point jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)
125-123
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Jock Landale turnover (offensive foul)
Karlo Matkovic personal foul
Pelicans challenge timeout
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Saddiq Bey, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
128-123
Pelicans offensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
+3
Cam Spencer makes three point pullup jump shot
128-123
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Trey Murphy III makes two point jump shot (Saddiq Bey assists)
128-123
Grizzlies personal foul
+3
Jaylen Wells makes three point jump shot (GG Jackson assists)
76-86
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears)
Jaylen Wells misses three point pullup jump shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, Cam Spencer, Jaylen Wells, Cedric Coward, GG Jackson)
Grizzlies turnover
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
125-123
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
125-123
Jaren Jackson Jr. offensive rebound
Zion Williamson blocks Jaren Jackson Jr.'s two point jump shot
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Pelicans 60 second timeout
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
128-123
Saddiq Bey misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
106-106
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-106
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Derik Queen offensive rebound
Grizzlies offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones)
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Other)
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
60-65
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
60-65
Pelicans turnover
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Herbert Jones shooting foul (Jaylen Wells draws the foul)
Jaylen Wells misses regular free throw 1 of 3
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 2 of 3
60-65
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 3 of 3
60-65
Zion Williamson blocks Jock Landale's two point jump shot
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-56
Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Zion Williamson offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Herbert Jones misses three point jump shot
Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
60-65
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
52-53
GG Jackson personal foul (Trey Murphy III draws the foul)
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-65
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
50-51
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Yves Missi, Herbert Jones)
Derik Queen turnover
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-53
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-53
+3
Karlo Matkovic makes three point jump shot (Jeremiah Fears assists)
50-51
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Jock Landale offensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
50-49
Grizzlies personal foul
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
50-49
Grizzlies personal foul
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Karlo Matkovic blocks GG Jackson's two point jump shot
+2
Trey Murphy III makes two point jump shot
45-44
John Konchar shooting foul (Trey Murphy III draws the foul)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Saddiq Bey, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
Grizzlies turnover
Grizzlies lineup change (John Konchar, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Vince Williams Jr.)
Grizzlies lineup change (John Konchar, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Vince Williams Jr.)
Grizzlies lineup change (John Konchar, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Vince Williams Jr.)
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Derik Queen shooting foul (Javon Small draws the foul)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears)
+1
Javon Small makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-38
+2
Zion Williamson makes two point layup (Derik Queen assists)
32-38
Derik Queen shooting foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-38
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
32-38
Grizzlies turnover
Zion Williamson offensive rebound
+3
Javon Small makes three point jump shot
32-38
Micah Peavy misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-38
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-38
+3
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot
30-33
Pelicans offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Pelicans lineup change (Zion Williamson, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Jordan Poole, Herbert Jones)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Yves Missi, Jordan Poole, Jeremiah Fears)
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
30-30
Jordan Poole defensive rebound
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot
Vince Williams Jr. defensive rebound
Jordan Poole defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-29
Karlo Matkovic personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Zion Williamson, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Jordan Poole, Jeremiah Fears)
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-27
Jump ball. (Grizzlies gains possession)
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Karlo Matkovic, Jordan Poole, Jeremiah Fears)
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-24
GG Jackson offensive rebound
Vince Williams Jr. misses three point running jump shot
Jeremiah Fears misses three point jump shot
Micah Peavy personal foul
+2
Trey Murphy III makes two point driving dunk (Jeremiah Fears assists)
21-20
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point pullup jump shot
Micah Peavy misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Jeremiah Fears makes three point pullup jump shot
19-18
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, John Konchar, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Vince Williams Jr., GG Jackson)
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
15-16
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Derik Queen, Micah Peavy, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears)
Derik Queen turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Herbert Jones turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Derik Queen defensive rebound
+2
Derik Queen makes two point driving dunk (Trey Murphy III assists)
14-14
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
+2
Trey Murphy III makes two point running dunk (Derik Queen assists)
12-12
+3
Saddiq Bey makes three point pullup jump shot (Derik Queen assists)
10-12
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
7-9
Cam Spencer shooting foul (Trey Murphy III draws the foul)
Jaylen Wells turnover (bad pass) (Trey Murphy III steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
+2
Cedric Coward makes two point running dunk
2-9
Derik Queen misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Cedric Coward assists)
2-7
Cam Spencer blocks Zion Williamson's two point dunk
Cedric Coward misses three point jump shot
Derik Queen offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Saddiq Bey misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Jock Landale misses three point jump shot
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Cam Spencer misses three point pullup jump shot
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
+3
Cedric Coward makes three point stepback jump shot (Jaylen Wells assists)
0-3
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, Cam Spencer, Jaylen Wells, Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 1 | Z. Williamson | 24 | 11 | 4 |
| G | 25 | T. Murphy III | 32 | 3 | 3 |
| F | 41 | S. Bey | 36 | 4 | 4 |
| G | 2 | H. Jones | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| C | 22 | D. Queen | 8 | 9 | 5 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 23 | C. Coward | 13 | 3 | 4 |
| F | 45 | G. Jackson | 15 | 4 | 1 |
| G | 24 | C. Spencer | 21 | 5 | 11 |
| F | 8 | J. Jackson Jr. | 26 | 12 | 3 |
| C | 31 | J. Landale | 24 | 11 | 2 |
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Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pelicans vs. Grizzlies
- Date: Friday, January 23, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: FedExForum
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Grizzlies favored at -4.5
- Total (Over/Under): 240
- Moneyline Odds: Pelicans +165, Grizzlies -194
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pelicans: 37%
- Grizzlies: 63%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pelicans 117-120 Grizzlies.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pelicans a win probability of 37%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Grizzlies are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at FedExForum on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pelicans vs. Grizzlies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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