Pelicans vs. Mavericks prediction: Dallas favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [11/5/2025]

The Dallas Mavericks and New Orleans Pelicans are scheduled to meet in NBA action at American Airlines Center on Wednesday, starting at 8:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Mavericks as the most likely winner of the Pelicans vs. Mavericks game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Mavericks lineup will feature stars like P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg and D'Angelo Russell, while the Pelicans will rely on Trey Murphy, Jeremiah Fears and Herbert Jones.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Pelicans vs. Mavs prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA matchup between the Pelicans and Mavericks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mavericks a 72% chance of beating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Mavericks winning 116-109.

According to our model, the Pelicans (+7.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 225.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.

Pelicans vs. Mavericks odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pelicans vs. Mavericks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Pelicans +7.5 at the spread.

Pelicans vs. Mavericks player props

Looking for Pelicans vs. Mavericks NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at American Airlines Center.

Trey Murphy is expected to lead the Pelicans with 25 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while P.J. Washington is projected to have 17 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists for the Mavericks.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Pelicans prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Pelicans are:

Mavericks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mavericks:

Pelicans vs. Mavs game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's action between the Mavericks and Pelicans at American Airlines Center is scheduled to commence at 8:30PM ET.

• Who: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Dallas Mavericks
• Date: Wednesday, November 5, 2025
• Time: 8:30PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: American Airlines Center

Conclusion

We predict the Mavericks, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pelicans vs. Mavericks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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