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New Mexico State vs. Missouri State prediction: Why Missouri State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get New Mexico State vs Missouri State predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Missouri State will square off with New Mexico State in men's college basketball action at Great Southern Bank Arena on Sunday, starting at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Missouri State as the most likely winner of the New Mexico State vs. Missouri State game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
New Mexico State vs. Missouri State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NCAA basketball game between New Mexico State and Missouri State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Missouri State a 58% chance of defeating New Mexico State. Our predicted final score has Missouri State winning 69-67.
According to our model, Missouri State (-1.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 134.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
New Mexico State vs. Missouri State odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | New Mexico State | Missouri State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-110) | -1.5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | +105 | -120 |
| Total | o134.5 (-112) | u134.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
New Mexico State vs. Missouri State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Missouri State -1.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Missouri State | -120 |
| Total | Over 134.5 | -112 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Missouri State to win.
New Mexico State vs. Missouri State game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's men's college basketball action between Missouri State and New Mexico State at Great Southern Bank Arena is scheduled to start at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: New Mexico State vs. Missouri State
- Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Great Southern Bank Arena
Conclusion
We predict Missouri State, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat New Mexico State on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate New Mexico State vs. Missouri State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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