New Mexico State vs. Liberty prediction: Liberty favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/15/2026]

Liberty will take on New Mexico State in men's college basketball action at Liberty Arena on Thursday, starting at 6:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Liberty as the most likely winner of the New Mexico State vs. Liberty game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

New Mexico State vs. Liberty prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between New Mexico State and Liberty 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Liberty an 80% chance of defeating New Mexico State. Our predicted final score has Liberty winning 77-68.

According to our model, Liberty (-8.5) has a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 145.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.

New Mexico State vs. Liberty odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

New Mexico State vs. Liberty picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 145.5 total points.

New Mexico State vs. Liberty game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's men's college basketball game between Liberty and New Mexico State at Liberty Arena is scheduled to start at 6:00 PM ET.

• Who: New Mexico State vs. Liberty
• Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Venue: Liberty Arena

Conclusion

We predict Liberty, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat New Mexico State on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate New Mexico State vs. Liberty insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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