New Mexico State vs. Liberty prediction: Liberty favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/15/2026]

Liberty will square off with New Mexico State in men's college basketball action at Liberty Arena on Thursday, beginning at 6:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Liberty as the most likely winner of the New Mexico State vs. Liberty game.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

New Mexico State vs. Liberty prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball game between New Mexico State and Liberty 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Liberty a 79% chance of defeating New Mexico State. Our predicted final score has Liberty winning 75-67.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and New Mexico State and Liberty each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 142.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

New Mexico State vs. Liberty odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

New Mexico State vs. Liberty picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: