New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos updated prediction featuring Rhamondre Stevenson, RJ Harvey [AFC Championship, 2026]

Dimers' latest NFL predictions are live for Denver Broncos vs. New England Patriots in the AFC Championship game, with our model giving the Patriots a 66% of winning.

As Sunday approaches, both teams have updated their injury reports. A few lineup decisions are still up in the air, and those could shape how each side approaches this AFC matchup.

Since our early Broncos-Patriots predictions, we’ve updated the win probabilities, score projections, and TD odds for Rhamondre Stevenson, RJ Harvey, and others.

For the full simulation breakdown—including spreads, totals, touchdown probabilities, and the full list of player props—check out our Patriots vs. Broncos page.

What's changed? New England vs. Denver updated predictions

Our NFL predictions model has been re-run with the newest available data, creating a clearer picture of how this Patriots vs. Broncos matchup stacks up. Here are the updated forecasts:

• Straight Up Win Probabilities: Patriots 66%, Broncos 34%
• Predicted Final Score: Patriots 23-19 Broncos
• Spread: Patriots (-5) 44%, Broncos (+5) 56%
• Total Points (42.5): Over 50%, Under 50%

As of January 22, 2026, these Patriots-Broncos calculations reflect changes since our early-week simulation.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New NFL player projections for the AFC Championship highlight the top candidates to find the end zone in Patriots-Broncos on Sunday:

New England Patriots

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 44.5% probability
• TreVeyon Henderson: 33.7% probability
• Hunter Henry: 30.7% probability

Denver Broncos

• RJ Harvey: 41.6% probability
• Courtland Sutton: 27.6% probability
• Marvin Mims: 22.2% probability

Patriots vs. Broncos latest odds

The best current odds from the top sportsbooks in the US:

• Spread: Patriots -5 (-110), Broncos +5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Patriots -245, Broncos +210
• Total: Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-105)

Odds are correct at time of publication and are subject to change—track live updates via our NFL odds page.

Patriots vs. Broncos AFC Championship details

Sunday's action between the Broncos and Patriots at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled for January 25, 2026.

• Who: New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos
• Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Empower Field at Mile High

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Conclusion

We predict the Patriots, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Broncos in this NFL postseason matchup. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.

Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Patriots vs. Broncos matchup, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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