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New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos: Experts release early AFC Championship preview [2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get early predictions for the upcoming Patriots vs Broncos NFL game.
The New England Patriots and Denver Broncos will meet in the AFC Championship at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, January 25, 2026, starting at 3:00 PM ET.
Initial simulations from Dimers' trusted NFL model favor the Patriots as the most likely winner of this AFC matchup.
For updates all week long, including best bets, player prop projections and touchdown probabilities, check out our interactive Patriots vs. Broncos predictions page.
New England vs. Denver early predictions
Leveraging trusted machine learning and analysis, we have simulated the Patriots vs. Broncos game 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage. Here are the latest insights:
- Straight up win probabilities: Patriots 70%, Broncos 30%
- Predicted final score: Patriots 22-18 Broncos
- Spread: Patriots (-5.5) 46%, Broncos (+5.5) 54%
- Total points (40.5): Over 55%, Under 45%
As of January 19, 2026, these Patriots-Broncos numbers and predictions reflect the latest data and insights available.
Patriots vs. Broncos AFC Championship details
Sunday's matchup between the Broncos and Patriots at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled for January 25, 2026.
- Who: New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos
- Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
Patriots vs. Broncos opening odds
We've researched the best betting odds across America for the AFC Championship, which are listed here:
- Spread: Patriots -5.5 (-110), Broncos +5.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Patriots -250, Broncos +225
- Total: Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-105)
Odds may continue to move—track live changes via our NFL odds page.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Early NFL player projections for the AFC Championship highlight the top candidates to score a TD in Patriots-Broncos in Week 21:
New England Patriots
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 45.8% probability
- TreVeyon Henderson: 42.5% probability
- Drake Maye: 32.5% probability
Denver Broncos
- RJ Harvey: 53.5% probability
- Courtland Sutton: 36.1% probability
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 25.2% probability
Patriots vs Broncos player props
Rhamondre Stevenson is projected to lead rushing for the Patriots, while RJ Harvey is expected to pace the Broncos on the ground.
In the receiving game, our projections favor New England's Stefon Diggs and Denver's Courtland Sutton as the likely leaders for each team.
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Conclusion
We predict the Patriots, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Broncos in this NFL postseason matchup. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.
Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Patriots vs. Broncos game, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Stay up-to-date with the latest NFL news and data-driven parlay picks all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds for top predictions and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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