Nevada vs. Utah State prediction: Utah State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/13/2026]

Utah State will square off with Nevada in men's college basketball action at Thomas & Mack Center on Friday, beginning at 9:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Utah State as the most likely winner of the Nevada vs. Utah State game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Nevada vs. Utah State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NCAA basketball matchup between Nevada and Utah State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Utah State a 75% chance of beating Nevada. Our predicted final score has Utah State winning 77-70.

According to our model, Utah State (-6.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 145.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.

Nevada vs. Utah State odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Nevada	Utah State
Spread	+6.5 (-110)	-6.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+230	-275
Total	o145.5 (-105)	u145.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Nevada vs. Utah State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Utah State -6.5	-105
Moneyline	Utah State	-275
Total	Over 145.5	-105

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Utah State -6.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Nevada vs. Utah State game-day updates and essential details

Friday's men's college basketball matchup between Utah State and Nevada at Thomas & Mack Center is scheduled to commence at 9:30 PM ET.

• Who: Nevada vs. Utah State
• Date: Friday, March 13, 2026
• Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
• Venue: Thomas & Mack Center

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Conclusion

We predict Utah State, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat Nevada on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nevada vs. Utah State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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