NBA championship odds: Oklahoma City Thunder lead the way in latest NBA Finals predictions [11/4/2025]

The latest NBA championship odds have been updated as of November 4, 2025, which covers every team's up-to-date NBA title chances.

Thanks to our advanced predictive analytics model, this article will provide insights into the probabiliuy of each NBA team winning the title this season.

According to Dimers' in-house NBA championship odds, the team with the most favorable outlook of winning the NBA title is the Oklahoma City Thunder, followed by the Denver Nuggets and Cleveland Cavaliers.

Current odds to win NBA championship [11/4/2025]

After simulating the remainder of the regular season and playoffs, our supercomputer has identified the Thunder as the team most likely to become NBA champions, with a probability of 25.1%.

The top five contenders for the NBA championship also include the Nuggets, Cavaliers, Rockets, and Knicks.

1. Oklahoma City Thunder

• Dimers Probability: 25.1%
• Championship Odds: +275

The Thunder are currently projected to have a 25.1% chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, with the most favorable odds of +275 available at BetMGM.

Additionally, Oklahoma City is rated with a 33.7% chance of winning the Western Conference, and DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds of +155 for this outcome.

2. Denver Nuggets

• Dimers Probability: 12.5%
• Championship Odds: +750

The Nuggets have a 12.5% chance of clinching the title, and the most favorable odds of +750 can be found at BetMGM.

Furthermore, Denver is rated with a 17.5% chance of winning the Western Conference, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds of +420 for this scenario.

As well as presenting these odds and probabilities on the Nuggets to win the title, Dimers produces NBA player props throughout the season, including points, rebounds and assists projections for Nikola Jokic.

3. Cleveland Cavaliers

• Dimers Probability: 9.9%
• Championship Odds: +750

The Cavaliers are projected to have a 9.9% chance of securing the 2025/26 NBA title, and you can find the most favorable odds of +750 at BetMGM.

Cleveland, lead by Donovan Mitchell, is rated with a 29.1% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds of +210 for this outcome.

Speaking of Donovan Mitchell, make sure you check out our NBA betting trends, where you can find just how often players such as the Cavaliers star are hitting their prop lines.

4. Houston Rockets

• Dimers Probability: 7.6%
• Championship Odds: +2000

The Rockets are projected to have the next best chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, and the most favorable odds of +2000 can be found at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Looking at the conference probabilities, Houston is rated with a 10.7% chance of winning the Western Conference, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds of +1200 for this scenario.

Wondering how Jalen Green and the Rockets will fare in their next game? Our NBA predictions page has probabilities for the spread, moneyline and over/under for each and every game on the slate.

5. New York Knicks

• Dimers Probability: 5.7%
• Championship Odds: +1300

The Knicks are projected to have the fifth best chance of securing the title, with the most favorable odds of +1300 currently available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Additionally, New York is rated with a 18.5% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds of +380 for this outcome.

NBA title odds as of November 4, 2025

Here, we provide you with the full list of teams in order of most likely to least likely to win the title this season.

Team	Title Probability	Championship Odds
Thunder	25.1%	+275
Nuggets	12.5%	+750
Cavaliers	9.9%	+750
Rockets	7.6%	+2000
Knicks	5.7%	+1300
Warriors	5.7%	+2800
Timberwolves	5.7%	+2200
Lakers	4.3%	+1800
76ers	4.0%	+4000
Clippers	3.4%	+3000
Mavericks	2.2%	+5500
Spurs	2.1%	+6600
Magic	1.6%	+4500
Celtics	1.5%	+6000
Bucks	1.4%	+5500
Pistons	1.3%	+6000
Hawks	1.0%	+6500
Heat	0.9%	+12500
Pelicans	0.8%	+60000
Wizards	0.7%	+100000
Hornets	0.7%	+100000
Pacers	0.7%	+30000
Nets	0.6%	+100000
Trail Blazers	0.4%	+70000

NBA teams with a 0% chance of winning the championship

The teams on the list above are the ones that our predictive model thinks have at least a 0.1% chance of winning the NBA title this season. The teams below are either completely out of the running or have won none of our model's thousands of simulations of the rest of the season.

• Phoenix Suns
• Utah Jazz
• Chicago Bulls
• Sacramento Kings
• Toronto Raptors
• Memphis Grizzlies

Check out the most recent odds to win the NBA championship if you want to bet on any of the teams that are still in the running.

Make smarter NBA futures betting decisions today - 11/4/2025

At Dimers, we take the responsibility of providing NBA futures picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.

While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our futures picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publishing.

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